Updated

Persha Liga · Matchday 13

Nyva Ternopil vs Kulykiv

· Ternopilsky Misky Stadion, Ternopil

Alin prediction Kulykiv to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Nyva TernopilDrawKulykiv
  • WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Nyva Ternopil vs Kulykiv preview

In the upcoming fixture, Nyva Ternopil faces Kulykiv with 33% chances for Nyva Ternopil to win, 30% for a draw, and 37% for Kulykiv to take the victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.17 for Nyva Ternopil and 1.27 for Kulykiv.

Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a reasonable chance for goals from both sides. However, the recent form shows Nyva Ternopil with a mixed record of D-W-D-D-W-L, while Kulykiv has been more consistent with D-W-L-W-L-W. This could influence the outcome, making the match unpredictable despite the statistics.

Nyva Ternopil vs Kulykiv: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceNyva TernopilDrawKulykiv
Model33%30%37%
Market———
Published33%30%37%
Edge———
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Nyva Ternopil and Kulykiv expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.17Nyva Ternopil
1.27Kulykiv
Total expected goals
2.44
Attack rating (Nyva Ternopil / Kulykiv)
0.88 / 1.53
Defence rating (Nyva Ternopil / Kulykiv)
0.77 / 1.02

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Nyva Ternopil vs Kulykiv score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.0% 9.8% 7.0% 3.0% 1.2% 1 8.9% 14.2% 8.2% 3.5% 1.5% 2 6.0% 7.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.9% 3 2.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 4+ 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Nyva Ternopil goals. Columns: Kulykiv goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Nyva Ternopil vs Kulykiv goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 44%
Over 3.5 23%
Both teams to score
51%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Nyva Ternopil vs Kulykiv

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Nyva Ternopil33%3.07
Draw30%3.34
Kulykiv37%2.67
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544%2.27
Under 2.556%1.79
Both teams to scoreYes51%1.97
No49%2.04
Double chance1X (Nyva Ternopil or draw)63%1.60
12 (either side)70%1.43
X2 (draw or Kulykiv)67%1.48
Handicap -1Kulykiv win by 2+17%5.84
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Nyva Ternopil and Kulykiv recent form

Nyva Ternopil 2W 3D 1L
Kulykiv 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Nyva Ternopil at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kulykiv away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.40
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Nyva Ternopil at home only, Kulykiv away only.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Kulykiv to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Kulykiv