Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II preview
Inhulets faces Kolos Kovalivka II with 41% chances to win compared to 30% for Kolos Kovalivka II and a 29% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% probability. Inhulets has an expected goals figure of 1.40, while Kolos Kovalivka II sits at 1.17.
Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a slightly higher likelihood that both teams will find the net. However, with Inhulets' recent form showing 3 losses in their last 5 matches, their performance could affect the outcome. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II: model vs market
| Source | Inhulets | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 53% | 28% | 20% |
| Published | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Inhulets, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inhulets | 1.75 | 1.72 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 3.38 | 3.30 | -0.08 |
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 4.29 | 4.60 | +0.31 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Inhulets and Kolos Kovalivka II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.57
- Attack rating (Inhulets / Kolos Kovalivka II)
- 0.84 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Inhulets / Kolos Kovalivka II)
- 1.20 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inhulets goals. Columns: Kolos Kovalivka II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inhulets | 50% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 22% | 4.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inhulets or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Kolos Kovalivka II) | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inhulets win by 2+ | 20% | 5.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Inhulets and Kolos Kovalivka II recent form
Inhulets
2W 1D 3L
Kolos Kovalivka II
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inhulets at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Kolos Kovalivka II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inhulets at home only, Kolos Kovalivka II away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol' 2026-10-23
- Oleksandria v Probiy Horodenka — match page 2026-10-24
- Prykarpattia vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka 2026-10-24
- Polissya II vs SK Poltava — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- UCSA v Lokomotiv Kyiv — match page 2026-10-25
- Nyva Ternopil v Kulykiv — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Inhulets, previous: Yarud Mariupol' – Inhulets, 2026-10-17
- Inhulets, next: Lokomotiv Kyiv v Inhulets analysis
- Kolos Kovalivka II, previous: Kolos Kovalivka II v UCSA analysis