Kulykiv vs Oleksandria preview
In the Persha Liga fixture between Kulykiv and Oleksandria, the 1X2 probabilities show Kulykiv at 50%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). Kulykiv's expected goals stand at 1.77, while Oleksandria's is lower at 1.19. The model also indicates a 57% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance for both teams to score.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions. Kulykiv's recent form includes three wins in their last six matches, while Oleksandria has two wins in the same period. This inconsistency could impact the outcome, making it possible for the match to deviate from the expected results.
Kulykiv vs Oleksandria: model vs market
| Source | Kulykiv | Draw | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kulykiv and Oleksandria expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (Kulykiv / Oleksandria)
- 1.61 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Kulykiv / Oleksandria)
- 1.03 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kulykiv vs Oleksandria score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kulykiv goals. Columns: Oleksandria goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kulykiv vs Oleksandria goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kulykiv vs Oleksandria
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kulykiv | 51% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Oleksandria | 24% | 4.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kulykiv or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Oleksandria) | 49% | 2.02 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kulykiv win by 2+ | 29% | 3.49 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Kulykiv and Oleksandria recent form
Kulykiv
3W 1D 2L
Oleksandria
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kulykiv at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oleksandria away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kulykiv at home only, Oleksandria away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Kolos Kovalivka II vs UCSA 2026-10-17
- Yarud Mariupol' v Inhulets — match page 2026-10-17
- SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil 2026-10-18
- Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Kulykiv, previous: Polissya II v Kulykiv analysis
- Oleksandria, previous: Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: odds and pick
- Oleksandria, next: Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka: odds and pick