Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II preview
In the upcoming match between Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II, the 1X2 probabilities show Polissya II at 44%, while Probiy Horodenka stands at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 7% chance. Both teams are expected to perform offensively, as the Over 2.5 goals probability is 79% and both teams to score stands at 78%.
Probiy Horodenka's expected goals are 1.99, while Polissya II's are 2.25. Recent form highlights a struggle for Probiy Horodenka, who has two wins in their last six matches, compared to Polissya II, who has one win in their last six. This could impact the match outcome, as form can influence performance on the pitch.
Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II: model vs market
| Source | Probiy Horodenka | Draw | Polissya II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 21% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 21% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.23
- Attack rating (Probiy Horodenka / Polissya II)
- 0.91 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Probiy Horodenka / Polissya II)
- 1.72 / 1.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Probiy Horodenka goals. Columns: Polissya II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 78%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Probiy Horodenka | 35% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.70 | |
| Polissya II | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79% | 1.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 21% | 4.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78% | 1.29 |
| No | 22% | 4.50 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Probiy Horodenka or draw) | 57% | 1.76 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Polissya II) | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | Polissya II win by 2+ | 26% | 3.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II recent form
Probiy Horodenka
2W 0D 4L
Polissya II
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Probiy Horodenka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Polissya II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Probiy Horodenka at home only, Polissya II away only.
Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Probiy Horodenka 1 · draws 0 · Polissya II 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Probiy Horodenka | 3-1 | Polissya II | Druha Liga |
| 2024-09-21 | Polissya II | 1-0 | Probiy Horodenka | Druha Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Yarud Mariupol' v Inhulets — match page 2026-10-17
- SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil 2026-10-18
- Kulykiv v Oleksandria — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Probiy Horodenka, previous: Probiy Horodenka – SK Poltava, 2026-10-10
- Probiy Horodenka, next: Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka: odds and pick
- Polissya II, previous: Polissya II v Kulykiv analysis
- Polissya II, next: Polissya II v SK Poltava analysis