Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC preview
In the match between Al-Jazira and Al-Wasl FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Al-Jazira at 41%, while Al-Wasl FC is at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a probability of 8%. Both teams have shown strong attacking potential, with expected goals of 1.81 each.
However, Al-Wasl FC has a solid recent record, winning 4 of their last 6 matches, and they have won both of the last two head-to-head encounters against Al-Jazira. This could impact the outcome, making it possible for Al-Wasl FC to secure another victory despite the probabilities favoring Al-Jazira slightly. The high percentages for Over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 71% suggest an exciting match ahead.
Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC: model vs market
| Source | Al-Jazira | Draw | Al-Wasl FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 31% |
| Published | 41% | 25% | 33% |
| Edge | -1% | -1% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.21, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Al-Jazira, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jazira | 2.13 | 2.15 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.50 | +0.05 |
| Al-Wasl FC | 2.90 | 2.90 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Al-Jazira and Al-Wasl FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.62
- Attack rating (Al-Jazira / Al-Wasl FC)
- 1.41 / 1.53
- Defence rating (Al-Jazira / Al-Wasl FC)
- 0.83 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al-Jazira goals. Columns: Al-Wasl FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Jazira | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Al-Wasl FC | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al-Jazira or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Wasl FC) | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Jazira win by 2+ | 20% | 4.88 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al-Jazira and Al-Wasl FC recent form
Al-Jazira
4W 2D 0L
Al-Wasl FC
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al-Jazira at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Al-Wasl FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.3 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Jazira at home only, Al-Wasl FC away only.
Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Al-Jazira 2 · draws 3 · Al-Wasl FC 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Al-Jazira | 1-2 | Al-Wasl FC | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2026-01-17 | Al-Wasl FC | 1-0 | Al-Jazira | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2025-11-30 | Al-Wasl FC | 1-2 | Al-Jazira | League Cup |
| 2025-11-16 | Al-Jazira | 0-0 | Al-Wasl FC | League Cup |
| 2025-04-07 | Al-Jazira | 0-5 | Al-Wasl FC | Pro League |
| 2025-03-22 | Al-Jazira | 3-1 | Al-Wasl FC | League Cup |
| 2025-03-17 | Al-Wasl FC | 1-0 | Al-Jazira | League Cup |
| 2024-10-31 | Al-Wasl FC | 2-2 | Al-Jazira | Pro League |
| 2024-04-26 | Al-Wasl FC | 2-2 | Al-Jazira | Pro League |
| 2024-04-02 | Al-Jazira | 0-3 | Al-Wasl FC | Presidents Cup |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Al-Dhafra vs Al-Ittihad Kalba — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan 2026-11-07
- Sharjah FC v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — match page 2026-11-07
- Al Nasr vs Dubai United 2026-11-08
- Al Wahda FC v Al Ain — match page 2026-11-08
- Ajman vs Baniyas SC — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Al-Jazira, next: Al-Jazira v Baniyas SC analysis
- Al-Wasl FC, next: Al-Wasl FC v Al-Dhafra analysis