Updated

United Arab Emirates Pro League · Matchday 8

Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan

· Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai

Alin prediction Khorfakkan to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Hatta SCDrawKhorfakkan
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Khorfakkan is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Hatta SC3.12 Draw3.70 Khorfakkan2.18

Price as of

Expected return at 2.18: -7.3% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 9 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan preview

In the fixture between Hatta SC and Khorfakkan, the 1X2 probabilities show Hatta SC at 32%, draw at 26%, and Khorfakkan at 43%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. The expected goals are closely matched, with Hatta SC at 1.49 and Khorfakkan at 1.52.

Both teams to score stands at 62%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 58%. Hatta SC's recent form is L-L-W-L-L-L, while Khorfakkan has L-D-L-W-L-L. Khorfakkan has a slight edge in their last 10 meetings, winning 4 times compared to Hatta SC's 3 wins. A surprise result could come from Hatta SC improving their form or Khorfakkan failing to capitalize on their chances.

Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceHatta SCDrawKhorfakkan
Model36%26%37%
Market30%26%44%
Published32%26%43%
Edge+1%0%-2%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Khorfakkan, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.

Opened 2.05Now 2.05 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Hatta SC3.063.00-0.06
Draw3.503.55+0.05
Khorfakkan2.052.05+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Hatta SC and Khorfakkan expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.49Hatta SC
1.52Khorfakkan
Total expected goals
3.02
Attack rating (Hatta SC / Khorfakkan)
0.75 / 0.87
Defence rating (Hatta SC / Khorfakkan)
1.23 / 1.33

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.0% 6.3% 5.7% 2.9% 1.5% 1 6.2% 12.2% 8.5% 4.3% 2.3% 2 5.5% 8.3% 6.3% 3.2% 1.7% 3 2.7% 4.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.9% 4+ 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4%

Rows: Hatta SC goals. Columns: Khorfakkan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 58%
Over 3.5 36%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Hatta SC32%3.16
Draw26%3.88
Khorfakkan43%2.35
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558%1.72
Under 2.542%2.39
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.62
No38%2.62
Double chance1X (Hatta SC or draw)57%1.74
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Khorfakkan)68%1.46
Handicap -1Khorfakkan win by 2+19%5.34
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Hatta SC and Khorfakkan recent form

Hatta SC 1W 0D 5L
Khorfakkan 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Hatta SC at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.33
Goals against / match
2.33
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Khorfakkan away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
3.50
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Hatta SC at home only, Khorfakkan away only.

Expected lineups

Hatta SC lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 74 Adham Khalid Ali Abdelhameed
  2. 33 Bruno Leonardo
  3. 3 Saeed Sulaiman
  4. 11 F. Ben Arbi
  5. 10 A. Rchoq
  6. 80 D. Simon
  7. 16 J. Pedroza
  8. 60 D. Coulibaly
  9. 30 S. Jaziri

Bench: Omar Saeed, Atiq Walid, Khalid Abdulla, R. Mubarak, Khaled Ali, Pedro Leao, Marzooq Rashed, G. Ouahabi, Anass Taouil, Saeed Al Mesmari, Khalid Al Baloushi, B. Faye

Khorfakkan lineup · 5-4-1

  1. 1 Ahmed Al Hosani
  2. 16 P. Pavlov
  3. 4 Rafael Pereira
  4. 19 L. Haquín
  5. 3 Kayque Soares
  6. 11 A. Jashak
  7. 5 A. Camara
  8. 80 R. Vaca
  9. 79 J. N'Guessan
  10. 10 Aylton Boa Morte
  11. 9 T. Tissoudali

Bench: Yousef Al Ameri, A. Nakach, Abdalla Al Naqbi, I. Lagrimi, Ahmed Barman, Sultan Alzaabi, Ahmed Mahmoud, S. Seymor, Rashid Ali, R. Sarki, Rashid Abdalla

Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Hatta SC 3 · draws 3 · Khorfakkan 4.

Hatta SCDrawsKhorfakkan
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2024-02-24Hatta SC0-2KhorfakkanPro League
2023-08-19Khorfakkan2-1Hatta SCPro League
2021-03-15Khorfakkan1-0Hatta SCPro League
2020-11-30Hatta SC2-3KhorfakkanPro League
2020-02-02Hatta SC1-1KhorfakkanPro League
2019-09-27Khorfakkan1-1Hatta SCPro League
2019-04-13Khorfakkan0-1Hatta SCDivision 1
2019-02-07Hatta SC1-1KhorfakkanDivision 1
2016-02-20Hatta SC3-0KhorfakkanDivision 1
2015-12-12Khorfakkan2-3Hatta SCDivision 1

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Khorfakkan to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Khorfakkan
Our pick: Khorfakkan to win 18+ Bet Now