Updated

United Arab Emirates Pro League · Matchday 8

Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

· Sharjah Stadium, Sharjah

Alin prediction Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Sharjah FCDrawShabab Al Ahli Dubai
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.46.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bet on Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai preview

In the match between Sharjah FC and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, the 1X2 probabilities show Sharjah FC at 30%, a draw at 25%, and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 46%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. The expected goals are 1.46 for Sharjah FC and 1.85 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, indicating a competitive match.

Both teams to score has a probability of 66%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 64%. Sharjah FC's recent form shows 3 wins and 3 losses, while Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 7 matches. These factors suggest Shabab Al Ahli Dubai could have the edge, but the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty.

Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSharjah FCDrawShabab Al Ahli Dubai
Model30%25%46%
Market———
Published30%25%46%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.46.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Sharjah FC and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.46Sharjah FC
1.85Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Total expected goals
3.31
Attack rating (Sharjah FC / Shabab Al Ahli Dubai)
1.19 / 1.29
Defence rating (Sharjah FC / Shabab Al Ahli Dubai)
1.00 / 0.82

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.6% 5.8% 6.2% 3.8% 2.7% 1 4.3% 10.8% 9.1% 5.6% 4.0% 2 3.9% 7.2% 6.7% 4.1% 2.9% 3 1.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.0% 1.4% 4+ 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.7%

Rows: Sharjah FC goals. Columns: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 64%
Over 3.5 42%
Both teams to score
66%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Sharjah FC30%3.37
Draw25%4.08
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai46%2.18
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564%1.56
Under 2.536%2.80
Both teams to scoreYes66%1.52
No34%2.92
Double chance1X (Sharjah FC or draw)54%1.85
12 (either side)75%1.32
X2 (draw or Shabab Al Ahli Dubai)70%1.42
Handicap -1Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win by 2+26%3.88
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
 Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
 Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
 Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
 Get offer

18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.

Sharjah FC and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai recent form

Sharjah FC 4W 0D 2L
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Sharjah FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.33
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Sharjah FC at home only, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai away only.

Expected lineups

Sharjah FC lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 40 Adel Al Hosani
  2. 66 Leandrinho
  3. 31 C. Nsiala-Makengo
  4. 23 Diney Borges
  5. 19 Khaled Ebraheim
  6. 6 C. Pickel
  7. 30 O. Camara
  8. 88 Majed Hassan
  9. 11 Luanzinho
  10. 57 Lorran
  11. 9 K. Laba

Bench: Khaled Tawhid, João Pedro Chermont, M. Katinić, Igor Coronado, Fahad Jasim, Mayed Muhsin, V. Prijović, Harib Abdalla Suhail, Léo Azevedo, C. Doumbia, Sultan Al Saadi

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai lineup · 5-3-2

  1. 22 Hamad Abdullah
  2. 31 Kauan Santos
  3. 4 W. Faes
  4. 75 Mateus Henrique
  5. 3 Igor Gomes
  6. 24 J. Markelo
  7. 88 N. Maksimović
  8. 10 F. Cartabia
  9. 6 S. Ezatolahi
  10. 8 Mohammad Juma
  11. 20 S. Azmoun

Bench: E. Irala, D. García, Mateusão, Sultan Adil, Oumar Keita, Matheus Donelli, Jorge Fernandes, Juan Alvina, Guilherme Bala, Breno Cascardo

Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Sharjah FC 1 · draws 4 · Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 5.

Sharjah FCDrawsShabab Al Ahli Dubai
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-05Sharjah FC1-4Shabab Al Ahli DubaiUnited Arab Emirates Pro League
2025-12-27Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2-3Sharjah FCSuper Cup
2025-10-30Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2-0Sharjah FCUnited Arab Emirates Pro League
2025-05-09Sharjah FC1-2Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPresidents Cup
2025-03-28Sharjah FC0-0Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
2025-03-23Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2-2Sharjah FCLeague Cup
2025-03-18Sharjah FC1-3Shabab Al Ahli DubaiLeague Cup
2025-03-12Sharjah FC1-1Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAFC Champions League Two
2025-03-05Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1-1Sharjah FCAFC Champions League Two
2024-10-27Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2-1Sharjah FCPro League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Our pick: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to win 18+ Bet Now