Updated

United Arab Emirates Pro League · Matchday 8

Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain

· Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi

Alin prediction Al Ain to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Al Wahda FCDrawAl Ain
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.00.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Al Ain is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Al Wahda FC4.28 Draw3.95 Al Ain1.78

Price as of

Expected return at 1.78: -3.5% per unit staked

Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain preview

In the match between Al Wahda FC and Al Ain, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Ain with a 56% chance to win, while Al Wahda FC has a 19% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 10% probability. Al Ain's expected goals stand at 1.84 compared to Al Wahda FC's 1.00, indicating a stronger offensive performance.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are each at 54%. However, Al Wahda FC's recent form includes 4 wins followed by 2 losses, which could impact their performance. Al Ain, on the other hand, has a recent record of 5 matches without a loss, which may strengthen their position in this fixture.

Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAl Wahda FCDrawAl Ain
Model19%25%56%
Market22%24%54%
Published21%25%54%
Edge-1%0%+1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.00.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Al Ain, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-02.

Opened 1.67Now 1.70 +0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Al Wahda FC4.294.15-0.13
Draw3.753.74-0.00
Al Ain1.671.70+0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Al Wahda FC and Al Ain expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.00Al Wahda FC
1.84Al Ain
Total expected goals
2.84
Attack rating (Al Wahda FC / Al Ain)
0.96 / 1.49
Defence rating (Al Wahda FC / Al Ain)
0.87 / 0.69

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.9% 9.7% 9.9% 6.0% 4.2% 1 4.8% 11.9% 9.9% 6.0% 4.2% 2 2.9% 5.4% 4.9% 3.0% 2.1% 3 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.7% 4+ 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Rows: Al Wahda FC goals. Columns: Al Ain goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
54%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Al Wahda FC21%4.70
Draw25%4.08
Al Ain54%1.84
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554%1.86
Under 2.546%2.17
Both teams to scoreYes54%1.84
No46%2.18
Double chance1X (Al Wahda FC or draw)46%2.18
12 (either side)75%1.32
X2 (draw or Al Ain)79%1.27
Handicap -1Al Ain win by 2+33%3.05
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Al Wahda FC and Al Ain recent form

Al Wahda FC 4W 0D 2L
Al Ain 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Al Wahda FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

Al Ain away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Al Wahda FC at home only, Al Ain away only.

Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Al Wahda FC 0 · draws 1 · Al Ain 1.

Al Wahda FCDrawsAl Ain
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-17Al Wahda FC0-1Al AinUnited Arab Emirates Pro League
2026-01-17Al Ain2-2Al Wahda FCUnited Arab Emirates Pro League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Al Ain to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Al Ain