Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain preview
In the match between Al Wahda FC and Al Ain, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Ain with a 56% chance to win, while Al Wahda FC has a 19% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 10% probability. Al Ain's expected goals stand at 1.84 compared to Al Wahda FC's 1.00, indicating a stronger offensive performance.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are each at 54%. However, Al Wahda FC's recent form includes 4 wins followed by 2 losses, which could impact their performance. Al Ain, on the other hand, has a recent record of 5 matches without a loss, which may strengthen their position in this fixture.
Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain: model vs market
| Source | Al Wahda FC | Draw | Al Ain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 25% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| Published | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.00.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Al Ain, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Wahda FC | 4.29 | 4.15 | -0.13 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.74 | -0.00 |
| Al Ain | 1.67 | 1.70 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Al Wahda FC and Al Ain expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.84
- Attack rating (Al Wahda FC / Al Ain)
- 0.96 / 1.49
- Defence rating (Al Wahda FC / Al Ain)
- 0.87 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Wahda FC goals. Columns: Al Ain goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Wahda FC | 21% | 4.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Al Ain | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Wahda FC or draw) | 46% | 2.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Al Ain) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ain win by 2+ | 33% | 3.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al Wahda FC and Al Ain recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Wahda FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Al Ain away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Wahda FC at home only, Al Ain away only.
Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Al Wahda FC 0 · draws 1 · Al Ain 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Al Wahda FC | 0-1 | Al Ain | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2026-01-17 | Al Ain | 2-2 | Al Wahda FC | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Al-Dhafra vs Al-Ittihad Kalba — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan 2026-11-07
- Sharjah FC v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — match page 2026-11-07
- Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Al Nasr vs Dubai United 2026-11-08
- Ajman vs Baniyas SC — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Al Wahda FC, next: Al Wahda FC – Hatta SC, 2026-12-30
- Al Ain, next: Al Ain – Ajman, 2026-12-29