Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC preview
Cambrian & Clydach face Ammanford AFC with a strong 68% probability of winning, while Ammanford has just a 15% chance. The expected goals suggest a likely scoreline of 2-1, with an 85% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance for both teams to score.
However, Cambrian & Clydach's recent form shows inconsistency with two losses in their last five matches, which could impact their performance. Ammanford AFC has struggled recently, winning only one of their last six games, but they could surprise if they find their rhythm. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC: model vs market
| Source | Cambrian & Clydach | Draw | Ammanford AFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| Market | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| Published | 68% | 18% | 15% |
| Edge | -8% | -1% | +9% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.95 vs 1.78.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.32, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cambrian & Clydach, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambrian & Clydach | 1.30 | 1.30 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.00 | 5.00 | +0.00 |
| Ammanford AFC | 7.34 | 7.34 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cambrian & Clydach and Ammanford AFC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.73
- Attack rating (Cambrian & Clydach / Ammanford AFC)
- 1.16 / 0.67
- Defence rating (Cambrian & Clydach / Ammanford AFC)
- 1.89 / 1.59
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cambrian & Clydach goals. Columns: Ammanford AFC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 79%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambrian & Clydach | 68% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.57 | |
| Ammanford AFC | 15% | 6.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85% | 1.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 15% | 6.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79% | 1.26 |
| No | 21% | 4.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cambrian & Clydach or draw) | 85% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Ammanford AFC) | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cambrian & Clydach win by 2+ | 43% | 2.33 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cambrian & Clydach and Ammanford AFC recent form
Cambrian & Clydach
3W 1D 2L
Ammanford AFC
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cambrian & Clydach at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ammanford AFC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Cambrian & Clydach at home only, Ammanford AFC away only.
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