Llandudno vs Airbus UK preview
Llandudno faces Airbus UK with a 41% chance of winning according to the model 1X2 probabilities. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which reflects a competitive match. However, Llandudno's recent form shows three losses in their last five matches, which could impact their performance.
Airbus UK has a slightly better expected goals figure of 1.85 compared to Llandudno's 1.56. Both teams to score stands at 67%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 66%. These figures suggest a match that could be high-scoring, but Llandudno's struggles may lead to a different outcome than expected. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Llandudno vs Airbus UK: model vs market
| Source | Llandudno | Draw | Airbus UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Published | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Edge | -13% | -1% | +13% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Llandudno vs Airbus UK odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Llandudno, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Llandudno | 2.21 | 2.04 | -0.17 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.60 | +0.05 |
| Airbus UK | 2.79 | 2.96 | +0.17 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Llandudno and Airbus UK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.41
- Attack rating (Llandudno / Airbus UK)
- 1.01 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Llandudno / Airbus UK)
- 1.11 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Llandudno vs Airbus UK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Llandudno goals. Columns: Airbus UK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Llandudno vs Airbus UK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Llandudno vs Airbus UK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llandudno | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Airbus UK | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.48 |
| No | 33% | 3.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Llandudno or draw) | 66% | 1.51 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Airbus UK) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Llandudno win by 2+ | 16% | 6.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Llandudno and Airbus UK recent form
Llandudno
1W 1D 4L
Airbus UK
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Llandudno at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Airbus UK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Llandudno at home only, Airbus UK away only.
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