Cambrian & Clydach vs Barry Town preview
Cambrian & Clydach face Barry Town with a 30% chance for the home team to win compared to 47% for Barry Town. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which reflects the expected goals of 1.82 for Cambrian & Clydach and 2.94 for Barry Town.
Barry Town has won all 5 of their last encounters against Cambrian & Clydach, which adds to their confidence. While the model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 85% and both teams to score at 80%, a lack of scoring from Cambrian & Clydach could lead to a different outcome.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Barry Town: model vs market
| Source | Cambrian & Clydach | Draw | Barry Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 18% | 61% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Published | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| Edge | -3% | -2% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.94 vs 1.82.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Barry Town below our published probability: +4.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Cambrian & Clydach vs Barry Town odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Barry Town, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambrian & Clydach | 2.95 | 2.79 | -0.15 |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.60 | +0.02 |
| Barry Town | 2.15 | 2.12 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cambrian & Clydach and Barry Town expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.76
- Attack rating (Cambrian & Clydach / Barry Town)
- 0.96 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Cambrian & Clydach / Barry Town)
- 1.69 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Barry Town score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cambrian & Clydach goals. Columns: Barry Town goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Barry Town goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 80%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cambrian & Clydach vs Barry Town
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambrian & Clydach | 30% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.31 | |
| Barry Town | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85% | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 15% | 6.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80% | 1.25 |
| No | 20% | 4.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cambrian & Clydach or draw) | 53% | 1.89 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Barry Town) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Barry Town win by 2+ | 42% | 2.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cambrian & Clydach and Barry Town recent form
Cambrian & Clydach
1W 0D 5L
Barry Town
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cambrian & Clydach at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Barry Town away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-3
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cambrian & Clydach at home only, Barry Town away only.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Barry Town head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Cambrian & Clydach 0 · draws 0 · Barry Town 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Barry Town | 2-1 | Cambrian & Clydach | Wales Premier League |
| 2025-12-06 | Cambrian & Clydach | 0-3 | Barry Town | League Cup |
| 2023-02-18 | Barry Town | 4-2 | Cambrian & Clydach | FAW Championship |
| 2022-11-18 | Cambrian & Clydach | 1-2 | Barry Town | FAW Championship |
| 2019-03-02 | Barry Town | 3-2 | Cambrian & Clydach | Welsh Cup |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Llandudno vs The New Saints 2026-11-06
- Ammanford AFC v Briton Ferry — match page 2026-11-06
- Penybont vs Caernarfon Town — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff MET 2026-11-06
- Holywell vs Airbus UK — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay 2026-11-06
- GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Flint Town United — team news & stats 2026-11-06
Before and after this match
- Cambrian & Clydach, previous: Colwyn Bay v Cambrian & Clydach analysis
- Barry Town, previous: Barry Town v Trefelin analysis