Llandudno vs The New Saints preview
Llandudno faces The New Saints with a 5% chance of winning compared to an 85% chance for The New Saints. The most likely scoreline is 0-4, with an 11% probability. The New Saints' expected goals stand at 4.19, while Llandudno's is just 0.58.
The New Saints are in strong form, with 6 consecutive wins, while Llandudno has lost their last 6 matches. Although Over 2.5 goals has an 85% likelihood, both teams to score is only at 43%. A surprising result could occur if Llandudno manages to find the net, which is not expected based on their recent performance and low expected goals.
Llandudno vs The New Saints: model vs market
| Source | Llandudno | Draw | The New Saints |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| Market | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| Published | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| Edge | -1% | -1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.19 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices The New Saints below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.12, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Llandudno vs The New Saints odds movement
Median bookmaker price on The New Saints, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Llandudno | 9.32 | 17.25 | +7.93 |
| Draw | 5.50 | 8.95 | +3.45 |
| The New Saints | 1.25 | 1.08 | -0.17 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Llandudno and The New Saints expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.77
- Attack rating (Llandudno / The New Saints)
- 0.80 / 2.23
- Defence rating (Llandudno / The New Saints)
- 1.31 / 0.45
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Llandudno vs The New Saints score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Llandudno goals. Columns: The New Saints goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Llandudno vs The New Saints goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Llandudno vs The New Saints
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llandudno | 4% | 22.91 |
| Draw | 9% | 11.21 | |
| The New Saints | 87% | 1.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85% | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 15% | 6.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Llandudno or draw) | 13% | 7.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 91% | 1.10 | |
| X2 (draw or The New Saints) | 96% | 1.05 | |
| Handicap -1 | The New Saints win by 2+ | 84% | 1.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 10% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Llandudno and The New Saints recent form
Llandudno
0W 0D 6L
The New Saints
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Llandudno at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
The New Saints away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 3.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 13 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 3.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 3.2 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 13 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Llandudno at home only, The New Saints away only.
Llandudno vs The New Saints head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Llandudno 0 · draws 0 · The New Saints 10.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | The New Saints | 2-1 | Llandudno | Wales Premier League |
| 2025-12-06 | The New Saints | 2-1 | Llandudno | League Cup |
| 2019-03-02 | Llandudno | 1-8 | The New Saints | Welsh Cup |
| 2018-12-22 | Llandudno | 0-4 | The New Saints | Premier League |
| 2018-10-17 | The New Saints | 6-1 | Llandudno | Premier League |
| 2017-11-17 | Llandudno | 0-1 | The New Saints | Premier League |
| 2017-09-22 | The New Saints | 1-0 | Llandudno | Premier League |
| 2016-10-15 | The New Saints | 5-0 | Llandudno | Premier League |
| 2016-08-20 | Llandudno | 0-5 | The New Saints | Premier League |
| 2016-04-23 | Llandudno | 1-5 | The New Saints | Premier League |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Ammanford AFC v Briton Ferry — match page 2026-11-06
- Penybont vs Caernarfon Town — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff MET 2026-11-06
- Cambrian & Clydach v Barry Town — match page 2026-11-06
- Holywell vs Airbus UK — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay 2026-11-06
- GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Flint Town United — team news & stats 2026-11-06
Before and after this match
- Llandudno, previous: Briton Ferry vs Llandudno prediction
- The New Saints, previous: The New Saints – GAP Connah S Quay FC, 2026-10-31