Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS preview
In the upcoming match between Borac Banja Luka and KuPS, the 1X2 probabilities show a strong lean towards Borac Banja Luka at 62%, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 18%. The expected goals indicate Borac Banja Luka at 1.60 and KuPS at 0.54, suggesting a potential low-scoring affair.
However, the chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at only 36%, and both teams to score is at 34%. This means that while Borac Banja Luka is favored, a surprising performance from KuPS could lead to an unexpected outcome. The recent form also highlights Borac Banja Luka's four wins in their last six matches, contrasting with KuPS's struggles, which could influence the match dynamics.
Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS: model vs market
| Source | Borac Banja Luka | Draw | KuPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 26% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 62% | 26% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Borac Banja Luka and KuPS expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.14
- Attack rating (Borac Banja Luka / KuPS)
- 1.28 / 0.66
- Defence rating (Borac Banja Luka / KuPS)
- 0.69 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Borac Banja Luka goals. Columns: KuPS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 34%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borac Banja Luka | 62% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | |
| KuPS | 11% | 8.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34% | 2.91 |
| No | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Borac Banja Luka or draw) | 89% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or KuPS) | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Borac Banja Luka win by 2+ | 35% | 2.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Borac Banja Luka and KuPS recent form
Borac Banja Luka
5W 0D 1L
KuPS
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Borac Banja Luka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KuPS away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Borac Banja Luka at home only, KuPS away only.
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Before and after this match
- Borac Banja Luka, previous: Velež vs Borac Banja Luka prediction
- KuPS, previous: KuPS vs VPS prediction