Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Power Dynamos	Draw	Nchanga Rangers
Model	62%	26%	12%
Market	—	—	—
Published	62%	26%	12%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.58.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Power Dynamos and Nchanga Rangers expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.63Power Dynamos

0.58Nchanga Rangers

Total expected goals: 2.21
Attack rating (Power Dynamos / Nchanga Rangers): 1.31 / 0.89
Defence rating (Power Dynamos / Nchanga Rangers): 0.90 / 1.19

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.0% 5.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 1 16.9% 11.4% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 2 14.6% 8.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 3 8.0% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 4+ 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Power Dynamos goals. Columns: Nchanga Rangers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%

Over 1.5 66%

Over 2.5 38%

Over 3.5 18%

Both teams to score: 36%
No goals (0–0): 12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Power Dynamos	62%	1.61
	Draw	26%	3.83
	Nchanga Rangers	12%	8.52
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	38%	2.64
	Under 2.5	62%	1.61
Both teams to score	Yes	36%	2.76
	No	64%	1.57
Double chance	1X (Power Dynamos or draw)	88%	1.13
	12 (either side)	74%	1.35
	X2 (draw or Nchanga Rangers)	38%	2.64
Handicap -1	Power Dynamos win by 2+	35%	2.82
	Push (exactly one goal)	27%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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