Updated

Primera Nacional · Matchday 36

All Boys vs CA Estudiantes

· Islas Malvinas Stadium, Floresta

Alin prediction All Boys to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

15% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
All BoysDrawCA Estudiantes
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.77.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

All Boys vs CA Estudiantes preview

In the fixture between All Boys and CA Estudiantes, the 1X2 probabilities show All Boys at 39%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 15%. All Boys have struggled recently, with a record of D-D-L-D-D-L, while CA Estudiantes has performed better, winning 4 of their last 6 matches.

The model indicates a low chance of Over 2.5 goals at 27% and a 36% probability for both teams to score. All Boys has expected goals of 1.03, while CA Estudiantes sits lower at 0.79. The recent form and head-to-head record, where CA Estudiantes won the last match, could influence the outcome, making the prediction less certain.

All Boys vs CA Estudiantes: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAll BoysDrawCA Estudiantes
Model46%32%22%
Market———
Published46%32%22%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.77.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

All Boys and CA Estudiantes expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.23All Boys
0.77CA Estudiantes
Total expected goals
2.00
Attack rating (All Boys / CA Estudiantes)
0.79 / 1.28
Defence rating (All Boys / CA Estudiantes)
0.83 / 1.36

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

All Boys vs CA Estudiantes score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 14.8% 9.1% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 1 15.4% 14.1% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 2 10.3% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 3 4.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: All Boys goals. Columns: CA Estudiantes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

All Boys vs CA Estudiantes goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 85%
Over 1.5 61%
Over 2.5 32%
Over 3.5 14%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
15%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for All Boys vs CA Estudiantes

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2All Boys46%2.18
Draw32%3.10
CA Estudiantes22%4.58
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532%3.08
Under 2.568%1.48
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.54
No61%1.65
Double chance1X (All Boys or draw)78%1.28
12 (either side)68%1.48
X2 (draw or CA Estudiantes)54%1.85
Handicap -1All Boys win by 2+21%4.70
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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All Boys and CA Estudiantes recent form

All Boys 1W 4D 1L
CA Estudiantes 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

All Boys at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-12-1
Win rate
24%
Goals for / match
0.53
Goals against / match
0.35
Clean sheets
11 of 17
  • They have won 6 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 15 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 17 of 34 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CA Estudiantes away

Record (W-D-L)
5-4-8
Win rate
29%
Goals for / match
0.82
Goals against / match
1.18
Clean sheets
6 of 17
  • They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

League matches this season before kick-off: All Boys at home only, CA Estudiantes away only.

All Boys vs CA Estudiantes head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: All Boys 0 · draws 0 · CA Estudiantes 1.

All BoysDrawsCA Estudiantes
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-06-14CA Estudiantes2-1All BoysPrimera Nacional

Other Matchday 36 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot All Boys to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on All Boys