Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz preview
Atletico Mitre faces Godoy Cruz with a 32% chance of winning for the home side compared to 39% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. Godoy Cruz's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Atletico Mitre has only 2 wins in the same period.
The model indicates a 47% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance for both teams to score. Atletico Mitre has expected goals of 1.20, while Godoy Cruz has 1.33. This suggests that while Godoy Cruz is favored, any unexpected defensive performance from Atletico Mitre could alter the outcome.
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz: model vs market
| Source | Atletico Mitre | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Atletico Mitre and Godoy Cruz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.54
- Attack rating (Atletico Mitre / Godoy Cruz)
- 0.91 / 1.97
- Defence rating (Atletico Mitre / Godoy Cruz)
- 0.94 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Atletico Mitre goals. Columns: Godoy Cruz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Mitre | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Godoy Cruz | 39% | 2.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Atletico Mitre or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Godoy Cruz) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Godoy Cruz win by 2+ | 18% | 5.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Atletico Mitre and Godoy Cruz recent form
Atletico Mitre
2W 2D 2L
Godoy Cruz
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atletico Mitre at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-7-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
- They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 33 matches.
Godoy Cruz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-7
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.82
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 17
- They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Atletico Mitre at home only, Godoy Cruz away only.
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Atletico Mitre 0 · draws 0 · Godoy Cruz 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Godoy Cruz | 2-1 | Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
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- Temperley v Chacarita Juniors — match page 2026-10-25
- Gimnasia Jujuy v Atlanta — match page 2026-10-25
- Central Norte vs Acassuso — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes 2026-10-25
- Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Racing Cordoba v All Boys — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Atletico Mitre, previous: Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre: odds and pick
- Godoy Cruz, previous: Godoy Cruz – CA Estudiantes, 2026-10-18