Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta preview
In the fixture between Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta, the 1X2 probabilities show Gimnasia Jujuy at 53%, while Atlanta sits at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance of occurring. Gimnasia Jujuy has an expected goals figure of 1.82, compared to Atlanta's 1.10, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
However, Atlanta's recent form is strong, with 4 wins in their last 6 matches. This could lead to a different outcome than expected, especially given their head-to-head record, where they have won the last encounter against Gimnasia Jujuy. Additionally, both teams to score has a probability of 57%, suggesting that Atlanta could find the net despite being the underdog.
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta: model vs market
| Source | Gimnasia Jujuy | Draw | Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.10.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.92
- Attack rating (Gimnasia Jujuy / Atlanta)
- 1.37 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Gimnasia Jujuy / Atlanta)
- 1.34 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gimnasia Jujuy goals. Columns: Atlanta goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | |
| Atlanta | 22% | 4.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gimnasia Jujuy or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Atlanta) | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimnasia Jujuy win by 2+ | 31% | 3.26 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta recent form
Gimnasia Jujuy
2W 3D 1L
Atlanta
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gimnasia Jujuy at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-5-1
- Win rate
- 65%
- Goals for / match
- 1.88
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlanta away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-2-8
- Win rate
- 41%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 1.35
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
- They have won 18 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Gimnasia Jujuy at home only, Atlanta away only.
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Gimnasia Jujuy 0 · draws 0 · Atlanta 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Atlanta | 3-0 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
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Before and after this match
- Gimnasia Jujuy, previous: Nueva Chicago v Gimnasia Jujuy analysis
- Atlanta, previous: Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta prediction