CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes preview
In the fixture between CA Estudiantes and Los Andes, the 1X2 probabilities show CA Estudiantes at 64%, while Los Andes sits at 13%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 1.95 for CA Estudiantes and 0.78 for Los Andes.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. Both teams to score stands at 48%, suggesting that while CA Estudiantes is favored, there is still a chance that Los Andes could find the net. Recent form also shows CA Estudiantes with a mixed record of L-W-L-W-W-W, while Los Andes has struggled with D-L-L-W-L-D.
CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes: model vs market
| Source | CA Estudiantes | Draw | Los Andes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64% | 23% | 13% |
| Market | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Published | 57% | 28% | 15% |
| Edge | +9% | -7% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices CA Estudiantes below the model: +9.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
CA Estudiantes and Los Andes expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.74
- Attack rating (CA Estudiantes / Los Andes)
- 1.36 / 0.79
- Defence rating (CA Estudiantes / Los Andes)
- 1.37 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CA Estudiantes goals. Columns: Los Andes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Estudiantes | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Los Andes | 15% | 6.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.10 |
| No | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CA Estudiantes or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Los Andes) | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | CA Estudiantes win by 2+ | 40% | 2.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CA Estudiantes and Los Andes recent form
CA Estudiantes
4W 0D 2L
Los Andes
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CA Estudiantes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-5-4
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.18
- Goals against / match
- 0.76
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
- They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Los Andes away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-8
- Win rate
- 24%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 33 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CA Estudiantes at home only, Los Andes away only.
CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: CA Estudiantes 0 · draws 1 · Los Andes 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Los Andes | 0-0 | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional |
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Before and after this match
- CA Estudiantes, previous: Godoy Cruz – CA Estudiantes, 2026-10-18
- Los Andes, previous: Los Andes – All Boys, 2026-10-18