Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors preview
In the match between Temperley and Chacarita Juniors, the 1X2 probabilities show Temperley at 63%, while Chacarita Juniors sits at 12%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% chance of occurring. Temperley has an expected goals figure of 1.68, compared to Chacarita Juniors' 0.59, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the potential for a draw at 25% and the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. Temperley has a mixed record with D-W-W-L-W-D, while Chacarita Juniors has shown inconsistency with W-L-W-L-W-L. Both teams to score is at 37%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 40%, suggesting that while a low-scoring match is likely, surprises can happen.
Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors: model vs market
| Source | Temperley | Draw | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 25% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 63% | 25% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.59.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Temperley and Chacarita Juniors expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.27
- Attack rating (Temperley / Chacarita Juniors)
- 1.45 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Temperley / Chacarita Juniors)
- 0.89 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Temperley goals. Columns: Chacarita Juniors goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Temperley | 63% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Chacarita Juniors | 12% | 8.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.69 |
| No | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Temperley or draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Chacarita Juniors) | 37% | 2.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Temperley win by 2+ | 37% | 2.74 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Temperley and Chacarita Juniors recent form
Temperley
3W 2D 1L
Chacarita Juniors
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Temperley at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-3-2
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 1.88
- Goals against / match
- 1.12
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
- They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chacarita Juniors away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-13
- Win rate
- 6%
- Goals for / match
- 0.47
- Goals against / match
- 1.41
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 17
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Temperley at home only, Chacarita Juniors away only.
Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Temperley 1 · draws 1 · Chacarita Juniors 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Chacarita Juniors | 0-1 | Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| 2025-08-16 | Chacarita Juniors | 0-0 | Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| 2025-04-13 | Temperley | 0-3 | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- CA Estudiantes v Los Andes — match page 2026-10-25
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron 2026-10-25
- Patronato vs Agropecuario 2026-10-25
- Gimnasia Jujuy v Atlanta — match page 2026-10-25
- Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Central Norte vs Acassuso — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes 2026-10-25
- Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Temperley, previous: San Martin S.J. vs Temperley prediction
- Chacarita Juniors, previous: Chacarita Juniors v Deportivo Maipu analysis