San Martin S.J. vs Temperley preview
In the fixture between San Martin S.J. and Temperley, the 1X2 probabilities show San Martin S.J. at 42% and Temperley at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance. San Martin S.J. has struggled recently, with a form of D-L-L-W-D-L, while Temperley is in better shape, boasting a W-W-L-W-D-W record.
The expected goals indicate San Martin S.J. at 1.07 and Temperley at 1.17, suggesting a close match. The model predicts a 39% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score. These factors could lead to unexpected outcomes if either team exceeds their expected performance.
San Martin S.J. vs Temperley: model vs market
| Source | San Martin S.J. | Draw | Temperley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 31% | 37% |
| Market | 44% | 33% | 23% |
| Published | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| Edge | -13% | -1% | +14% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
San Martin S.J. vs Temperley odds movement
Median bookmaker price on San Martin S.J., 8 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin S.J. | 2.04 | 2.08 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 2.90 | 2.83 | -0.07 |
| Temperley | 3.93 | 3.98 | +0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
San Martin S.J. and Temperley expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.24
- Attack rating (San Martin S.J. / Temperley)
- 1.10 / 1.50
- Defence rating (San Martin S.J. / Temperley)
- 1.10 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
San Martin S.J. vs Temperley score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: San Martin S.J. goals. Columns: Temperley goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
San Martin S.J. vs Temperley goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for San Martin S.J. vs Temperley
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin S.J. | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Temperley | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.14 |
| No | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Double chance | 1X (San Martin S.J. or draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| X2 (draw or Temperley) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | San Martin S.J. win by 2+ | 13% | 7.74 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
San Martin S.J. and Temperley recent form
San Martin S.J.
1W 2D 3L
Temperley
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
San Martin S.J. at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-5-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 0.81
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Temperley away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-8-4
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 16
- They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: San Martin S.J. at home only, Temperley away only.
San Martin S.J. vs Temperley head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: San Martin S.J. 4 · draws 0 · Temperley 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Temperley | 2-1 | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| 2023-08-25 | Temperley | 0-1 | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| 2023-04-16 | San Martin S.J. | 3-1 | Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| 2022-04-09 | San Martin S.J. | 4-1 | Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| 2019-09-29 | San Martin S.J. | 1-2 | Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| 2017-11-28 | Temperley | 1-0 | San Martin S.J. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2017-06-16 | San Martin S.J. | 0-1 | Temperley | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2015-05-05 | Temperley | 0-1 | San Martin S.J. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
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- Ferro Carril Oeste v Racing Cordoba — match page 2026-10-18
- Chaco For Ever v Central Norte — match page 2026-10-18
- Club Atlético Güemes v Almagro — match page 2026-10-18
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- San Martin Tucuman v Midland — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- San Martin S.J., previous: Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.: odds and pick
- Temperley, previous: Temperley vs Nueva Chicago prediction