Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte preview
In the fixture between Chaco For Ever and Central Norte, the 1X2 probabilities show Chaco For Ever at 56%, while Central Norte sits at 12%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 21% chance. Chaco For Ever's expected goals are 1.29, significantly higher than Central Norte's 0.46.
Chaco For Ever has shown stronger recent form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, compared to Central Norte's 6 matches without a win. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. Factors such as an unexpected performance from Central Norte or a lack of finishing from Chaco For Ever could lead to a different outcome than predicted.
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte: model vs market
| Source | Chaco For Ever | Draw | Central Norte |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 31% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 57% | 31% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Chaco For Ever and Central Norte expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.76
- Attack rating (Chaco For Ever / Central Norte)
- 1.27 / 0.76
- Defence rating (Chaco For Ever / Central Norte)
- 0.86 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chaco For Ever goals. Columns: Central Norte goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 28%
- No goals (0–0)
- 18%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 57% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 | |
| Central Norte | 12% | 8.22 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26% | 3.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28% | 3.59 |
| No | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chaco For Ever or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Central Norte) | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Chaco For Ever win by 2+ | 28% | 3.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 29% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Chaco For Ever and Central Norte recent form
Chaco For Ever
3W 2D 1L
Central Norte
0W 5D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chaco For Ever at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-4
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 16
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Central Norte away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-6-8
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 0.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.19
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
- They have won 6 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Chaco For Ever at home only, Central Norte away only.
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Chaco For Ever 2 · draws 4 · Central Norte 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Central Norte | 1-1 | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
| 2026-01-28 | Chaco For Ever | 1-1 | Central Norte | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-08-03 | Central Norte | 0-1 | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
| 2025-03-29 | Chaco For Ever | 1-0 | Central Norte | Primera Nacional |
| 2021-10-03 | Central Norte | 2-0 | Chaco For Ever | Torneo Federal A |
| 2021-07-07 | Chaco For Ever | 2-2 | Central Norte | Torneo Federal A |
| 2020-12-09 | Central Norte | 2-1 | Chaco For Ever | Torneo Federal A |
| 2019-10-25 | Chaco For Ever | 1-1 | Central Norte | Torneo Federal A |
| 2014-04-27 | Central Norte | 1-0 | Chaco For Ever | Torneo Federal A |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- Chaco For Ever, previous: Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever: odds and pick
- Central Norte, previous: Central Norte v Ferro Carril Oeste analysis