Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba preview
Ferro Carril Oeste has a 59% chance to win against Racing Cordoba, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 16%. Ferro's expected goals stand at 1.46, while Racing's is significantly lower at 0.68. This suggests a solid advantage for Ferro in terms of scoring potential.
However, there are factors that could impact this outcome. Racing Cordoba has recently shown some resilience, with 3 draws in their last 6 matches, and they have historically performed well against Ferro, winning 1 of their last 3 encounters. Additionally, the model indicates a 36% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance for both teams to score, which could suggest a more competitive match than the statistics imply.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba: model vs market
| Source | Ferro Carril Oeste | Draw | Racing Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 27% | 13% |
| Published | 59% | 27% | 14% |
| Edge | -5% | +2% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ferro Carril Oeste, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 1.50 | 1.53 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.45 | -0.10 |
| Racing Cordoba | 6.96 | 6.80 | -0.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ferro Carril Oeste and Racing Cordoba expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.14
- Attack rating (Ferro Carril Oeste / Racing Cordoba)
- 1.04 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Ferro Carril Oeste / Racing Cordoba)
- 0.98 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ferro Carril Oeste goals. Columns: Racing Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 59% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Racing Cordoba | 14% | 7.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.55 |
| No | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ferro Carril Oeste or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Racing Cordoba) | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferro Carril Oeste win by 2+ | 29% | 3.49 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ferro Carril Oeste and Racing Cordoba recent form
Ferro Carril Oeste
2W 3D 1L
Racing Cordoba
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ferro Carril Oeste at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-5
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
- They have won 18 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Racing Cordoba away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-5-10
- Win rate
- 6%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.56
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 16
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Ferro Carril Oeste at home only, Racing Cordoba away only.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Ferro Carril Oeste 2 · draws 4 · Racing Cordoba 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Racing Cordoba | 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| 2025-09-02 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2-2 | Racing Cordoba | Primera Nacional |
| 2025-04-27 | Racing Cordoba | 4-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| 2024-09-01 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2-0 | Racing Cordoba | Primera Nacional |
| 2024-04-14 | Racing Cordoba | 1-1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| 2023-09-30 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 3-1 | Racing Cordoba | Primera Nacional |
| 2023-05-22 | Racing Cordoba | 1-1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
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- Los Andes vs All Boys — team news & stats 2026-10-18
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- Chaco For Ever v Central Norte — match page 2026-10-18
- Club Atlético Güemes v Almagro — match page 2026-10-18
- Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes 2026-10-18
- San Martin S.J. vs Temperley 2026-10-18
- San Martin Tucuman v Midland — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Ferro Carril Oeste, previous: Central Norte v Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
- Racing Cordoba, previous: Racing Cordoba vs Los Andes prediction