Racing Cordoba vs Los Andes: model vs market
| Source | Racing Cordoba | Draw | Los Andes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Published | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Edge | +11% | -4% | -7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.81.
- The market prices Racing Cordoba below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Racing Cordoba vs Los Andes odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Racing Cordoba, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Cordoba | 2.30 | 2.30 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 2.75 | 2.75 | +0.00 |
| Los Andes | 3.40 | 3.40 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Racing Cordoba and Los Andes expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.25
- Attack rating (Racing Cordoba / Los Andes)
- 0.95 / 0.82
- Defence rating (Racing Cordoba / Los Andes)
- 1.38 / 1.33
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Racing Cordoba vs Los Andes score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Racing Cordoba goals. Columns: Los Andes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Racing Cordoba vs Los Andes goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Racing Cordoba vs Los Andes
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Cordoba | 43% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Los Andes | 25% | 3.98 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.30 |
| No | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Racing Cordoba or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| X2 (draw or Los Andes) | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Cordoba win by 2+ | 26% | 3.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Racing Cordoba and Los Andes recent form
Racing Cordoba
1W 2D 3L
Los Andes
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Racing Cordoba at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-5-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 16
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Los Andes away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 16
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 31 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Racing Cordoba at home only, Los Andes away only.
Racing Cordoba vs Los Andes head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Racing Cordoba 0 · draws 1 · Los Andes 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Los Andes | 2-0 | Racing Cordoba | Primera Nacional |
| 2025-08-03 | Los Andes | 2-0 | Racing Cordoba | Primera Nacional |
| 2025-03-29 | Racing Cordoba | 1-1 | Los Andes | Primera Nacional |
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