Primera Nacional · Matchday 32

Godoy Cruz vs Los Andes

· Estadio Feliciano Gambarte, Mendoza

Full time2 – 1

Alin prediction was Godoy Cruz to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Godoy CruzDrawLos Andes

Godoy Cruz vs Los Andes: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGodoy CruzDrawLos Andes
Model73%19%9%
Market56%29%16%
Published60%26%14%
Edge+17%-10%-7%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Godoy Cruz below the model: +17.1 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Godoy Cruz vs Los Andes odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Godoy Cruz, 12 snapshots since 2026-09-29.

Opened 1.64Now 1.65 +0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Godoy Cruz1.641.65+0.01
Draw3.123.20+0.08
Los Andes5.905.80-0.10

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Godoy Cruz and Los Andes expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.23Godoy Cruz
0.65Los Andes
Total expected goals
2.88
Attack rating (Godoy Cruz / Los Andes)
1.59 / 0.84
Defence rating (Godoy Cruz / Los Andes)
1.09 / 1.22

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Godoy Cruz vs Los Andes score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 1 11.7% 9.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 2 13.9% 9.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 3 10.3% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 9.7% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%

Rows: Godoy Cruz goals. Columns: Los Andes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Godoy Cruz vs Los Andes goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Godoy Cruz vs Los Andes

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Godoy Cruz60%1.67
Draw26%3.82
Los Andes14%7.15
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555%1.81
Under 2.545%2.23
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.29
No56%1.77
Double chance1X (Godoy Cruz or draw)86%1.16
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Los Andes)40%2.49
Handicap -1Godoy Cruz win by 2+49%2.03
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Godoy Cruz and Los Andes recent form

Godoy Cruz 4W 1D 1L
Los Andes 1W 4D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Godoy Cruz at home

Record (W-D-L)
10-4-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.73
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
7 of 15
  • They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Los Andes away

Record (W-D-L)
4-5-6
Win rate
27%
Goals for / match
0.73
Goals against / match
0.87
Clean sheets
7 of 15
  • They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 31 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Godoy Cruz at home only, Los Andes away only.

Godoy Cruz vs Los Andes head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Godoy Cruz 0 · draws 0 · Los Andes 1.

Godoy CruzDrawsLos Andes
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-16Los Andes1-0Godoy CruzPrimera Nacional

Other Matchday 32 fixtures