Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero preview
In the fixture between Blooming and Independiente Petrolero, Blooming has a strong 71% probability to win, while Independiente Petrolero sits at just 10%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 13% chance according to our model. Blooming's expected goals are 2.23, compared to Independiente Petrolero's 0.71, indicating a significant attacking advantage for Blooming.
However, there are factors that could influence the outcome. Independiente Petrolero has won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head matches, which may boost their confidence despite their recent form of 3 losses in 5 games. Additionally, both teams to score has a 46% likelihood, suggesting that Independiente Petrolero could find the net, which would affect the Over 2.5 goals market, currently at 56%.
Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero: model vs market
| Source | Blooming | Draw | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69% | 21% | 10% |
| Market | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Published | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Edge | +1% | +2% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.65.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Blooming, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blooming | 1.28 | 1.33 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 5.10 | 4.86 | -0.24 |
| Independiente Petrolero | 8.50 | 7.05 | -1.45 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Blooming and Independiente Petrolero expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.70
- Attack rating (Blooming / Independiente Petrolero)
- 0.84 / 0.69
- Defence rating (Blooming / Independiente Petrolero)
- 0.72 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Blooming goals. Columns: Independiente Petrolero goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blooming | 69% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.19 | |
| Independiente Petrolero | 12% | 8.26 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.35 |
| No | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Blooming or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Independiente Petrolero) | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | Blooming win by 2+ | 45% | 2.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Blooming and Independiente Petrolero recent form
Blooming
1W 3D 2L
Independiente Petrolero
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Blooming at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-6-0
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.91
- Goals against / match
- 0.55
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 11
- They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
Independiente Petrolero away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-5
- Win rate
- 30%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.90
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Blooming at home only, Independiente Petrolero away only.
Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Blooming 5 · draws 0 · Independiente Petrolero 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Blooming | 0-1 | Independiente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2026-08-19 | Independiente Petrolero | 5-2 | Blooming | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2026-05-13 | Independiente Petrolero | 3-1 | Blooming | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2026-03-16 | Blooming | 1-0 | Independiente Petrolero | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-03-13 | Independiente Petrolero | 0-4 | Blooming | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-02-21 | Independiente Petrolero | 1-5 | Blooming | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| 2026-02-12 | Blooming | 5-0 | Independiente Petrolero | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| 2025-09-15 | Independiente Petrolero | 3-0 | Blooming | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-04-20 | Blooming | 3-1 | Independiente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2024-11-20 | Independiente Petrolero | 5-1 | Blooming | Primera División |
Other Apertura - 22 fixtures
- ABB vs Real Potosí — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2026-10-17
- Real Oruro v Aurora — match page 2026-10-17
- Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Nacional Potosí v Bolívar — match page 2026-10-18
- The Strongest vs Always Ready — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Blooming, previous: Bolívar vs Blooming: odds and pick
- Independiente Petrolero, previous: Always Ready – Independiente Petrolero, 2026-10-12