Updated

Bolivia Primera División · Apertura - 22

The Strongest vs Always Ready

· Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz

Alin prediction The Strongest to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
The StrongestDrawAlways Ready
Best market odds
The Strongest2.30 Draw3.80 Always Ready2.70

Price as of

The Strongest vs Always Ready preview

In the Bolivia Primera División fixture, The Strongest has a 37% chance to win, while Always Ready stands at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. Both teams to score is at 60%, and Over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance according to our model. The expected goals are closely matched, with The Strongest at 1.48 and Always Ready at 1.44.

Recent form shows The Strongest with 5 wins and 1 loss, while Always Ready has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. In their last 3 head-to-head encounters, The Strongest has 1 win, and Always Ready has 2 wins. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.

The Strongest vs Always Ready: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceThe StrongestDrawAlways Ready
Model34%28%38%
Market40%25%35%
Published39%26%36%
Edge-6%+3%+3%
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

The Strongest vs Always Ready odds movement

Median bookmaker price on The Strongest, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-13.

Opened 2.01Now 2.25 +0.24
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
The Strongest2.012.25+0.24
Draw3.703.64-0.06
Always Ready2.992.60-0.39

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

The Strongest and Always Ready expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.34The Strongest
1.42Always Ready
Total expected goals
2.76
Attack rating (The Strongest / Always Ready)
1.17 / 1.44
Defence rating (The Strongest / Always Ready)
0.76 / 0.55

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

The Strongest vs Always Ready score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.5% 7.7% 6.4% 3.0% 1.5% 1 7.3% 13.2% 8.5% 4.0% 2.0% 2 5.7% 8.1% 5.7% 2.7% 1.3% 3 2.6% 3.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 4+ 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%

Rows: The Strongest goals. Columns: Always Ready goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

The Strongest vs Always Ready goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 52%
Over 3.5 30%
Both teams to score
57%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for The Strongest vs Always Ready

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2The Strongest39%2.58
Draw26%3.90
Always Ready36%2.81
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552%1.92
Under 2.548%2.09
Both teams to scoreYes57%1.75
No43%2.34
Double chance1X (The Strongest or draw)64%1.55
12 (either side)74%1.34
X2 (draw or Always Ready)61%1.63
Handicap -1The Strongest win by 2+16%6.26
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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The Strongest and Always Ready recent form

The Strongest 5W 0D 1L
Always Ready 4W 2D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

The Strongest at home

Record (W-D-L)
6-3-1
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.30
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
2 of 10
  • They have won 12 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Always Ready away

Record (W-D-L)
6-4-0
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.20
Goals against / match
0.70
Clean sheets
4 of 10
  • They have won 13 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 20 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: The Strongest at home only, Always Ready away only.

The Strongest vs Always Ready head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: The Strongest 1 · draws 0 · Always Ready 2.

The StrongestDrawsAlways Ready
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-14Always Ready0-1The StrongestBolivia Primera División
2025-12-07The Strongest2-3Always ReadyBolivia Primera División
2025-07-06Always Ready7-2The StrongestBolivia Primera División

Other Apertura - 22 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot The Strongest to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on The Strongest