Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo preview
In the fixture between Universitario de Vinto and San Antonio Bulo Bulo, the 1X2 probabilities show Universitario de Vinto at 55% to win, compared to 19% for San Antonio Bulo Bulo. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 11% chance, suggesting a close match.
Both teams to score stands at 50%, indicating a balanced possibility for goals from both sides. However, San Antonio Bulo Bulo's recent form, which includes 5 losses in their last 6 matches, could impact their performance negatively. Additionally, Universitario de Vinto's expected goals are 1.71, while San Antonio Bulo Bulo's are only 0.92, highlighting a potential struggle for the visitors to find the net.
Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo: model vs market
| Source | Universitario de Vinto | Draw | San Antonio Bulo Bulo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Published | 56% | 25% | 20% |
| Edge | -1% | +2% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Universitario de Vinto, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario de Vinto | 1.62 | 1.64 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 3.75 | -0.25 |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 4.40 | 4.59 | +0.19 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Universitario de Vinto and San Antonio Bulo Bulo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.64
- Attack rating (Universitario de Vinto / San Antonio Bulo Bulo)
- 0.77 / 0.60
- Defence rating (Universitario de Vinto / San Antonio Bulo Bulo)
- 1.19 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Universitario de Vinto goals. Columns: San Antonio Bulo Bulo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitario de Vinto | 56% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 20% | 5.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.04 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| No | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Universitario de Vinto or draw) | 80% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or San Antonio Bulo Bulo) | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitario de Vinto win by 2+ | 31% | 3.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Universitario de Vinto and San Antonio Bulo Bulo recent form
Universitario de Vinto
2W 1D 3L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Universitario de Vinto at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-5
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 1.55
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 11
- They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
San Antonio Bulo Bulo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-8
- Win rate
- 10%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
- They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 21 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Universitario de Vinto at home only, San Antonio Bulo Bulo away only.
Expected lineups
Universitario de Vinto lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 12 J. Careaga
- 70 Julio Lazarte
- 28 J. Pinto
- 50 D. Vargas
- 76 E. Mendoza
- 6 Marco Gomez
- 24 H. Rodríguez
- 9 A. Llano
- 17 Didí Torrico
- 79 O. Blanco
- 32 F. Pasadore
Bench: B. Poveda, Gustavo Alexis Visalla Condori, H. Dorrego, J. Veizaga, G. Cuellar, S. Mendoza, B. Calderon, A. Jara, L. Cabrera Suarez, F. Vasquez, D. Saavedra
San Antonio Bulo Bulo lineup · 5-4-1
- 1 L. Giossa
- 44 C. Ricaldez
- 14 L. Yanarico
- 15 C. Machado
- 26 C. Romero
- 31 R. Bustos
- 11 C. Preciado
- 32 A. Campos
- 45 S. Villamíl
- 10 A. Terrazas
- 18 Rafael Menacho
Bench: Diego Mauricio Mercado, K. Gutiérrez, L. Guzman, Alexis Medina, S. Guerra, Marcelo De Lima, R. Vargas, R. Ballivian, Huberth Alonso Sánchez Medranda, J. Villamíl, J. Magallanes, Joao Pedro
Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Universitario de Vinto 3 · draws 2 · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 0-2 | Universitario de Vinto | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-11-29 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2-0 | Universitario de Vinto | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-11-07 | Universitario de Vinto | 5-2 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2025-08-30 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2-0 | Universitario de Vinto | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2025-06-21 | Universitario de Vinto | 1-1 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2024-12-06 | Universitario de Vinto | 0-2 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Primera División |
| 2024-08-12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2-1 | Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
| 2024-05-05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 1-1 | Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
| 2024-05-01 | Universitario de Vinto | 1-2 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Primera División |
| 2024-03-09 | Universitario de Vinto | 1-0 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Primera División |
Other Apertura - 22 fixtures
- ABB vs Real Potosí — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2026-10-17
- Real Oruro v Aurora — match page 2026-10-17
- Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero 2026-10-17
- Nacional Potosí v Bolívar — match page 2026-10-18
- The Strongest vs Always Ready — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Universitario de Vinto, previous: Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro: odds and pick
- San Antonio Bulo Bulo, previous: San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Real Tomayapo analysis
- San Antonio Bulo Bulo, next: San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Potosí: odds and pick