Updated

Bolivia Primera División · Apertura - 21

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo

· Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas, Entre Rios· Referee G. Quenta

Full time0 – 0

Alin prediction was San Antonio Bulo Bulo to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
San Antonio Bulo BuloDrawReal Tomayapo

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSan Antonio Bulo BuloDrawReal Tomayapo
Model44%31%25%
Market52%24%23%
Published50%26%24%
Edge-2%+2%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.93.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo odds movement

Median bookmaker price on San Antonio Bulo Bulo, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-06.

Opened 1.67Now 1.73 +0.06
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1.671.73+0.06
Draw3.803.74-0.06
Real Tomayapo4.203.86-0.34

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo and Real Tomayapo expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.31San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0.93Real Tomayapo
Total expected goals
2.24
Attack rating (San Antonio Bulo Bulo / Real Tomayapo)
0.63 / 0.61
Defence rating (San Antonio Bulo Bulo / Real Tomayapo)
1.16 / 0.99

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.0% 8.6% 4.6% 1.4% 0.4% 1 12.7% 14.3% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 2 9.2% 8.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 3 4.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 4+ 1.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: San Antonio Bulo Bulo goals. Columns: Real Tomayapo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
45%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2San Antonio Bulo Bulo50%1.99
Draw26%3.87
Real Tomayapo24%4.20
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.58
Under 2.561%1.63
Both teams to scoreYes45%2.20
No55%1.83
Double chance1X (San Antonio Bulo Bulo or draw)76%1.31
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Real Tomayapo)50%2.01
Handicap -1San Antonio Bulo Bulo win by 2+21%4.74
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo and Real Tomayapo recent form

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1W 0D 5L
Real Tomayapo 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-1-4
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.30
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
2 of 10
  • They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.

Real Tomayapo away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-8
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.70
Goals against / match
2.70
Clean sheets
2 of 10
  • They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

League matches this season before kick-off: San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home only, Real Tomayapo away only.

Expected lineups

San Antonio Bulo Bulo lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 L. Giossa
  2. 44 C. Ricaldez
  3. 14 L. Yanarico
  4. 15 C. Machado
  5. 4 F. Rodríguez
  6. 45 S. Villamíl
  7. 32 A. Campos
  8. 13 Alexis Medina
  9. 10 A. Terrazas
  10. 19 Marcelo De Lima
  11. 18 Rafael Menacho

Bench: Diego Mauricio Mercado, K. Gutiérrez, L. Guzman, I. Rodriguez, R. Vargas, R. Ballivian, Huberth Alonso Sánchez Medranda, C. Romero, Hallysson Padilha, J. Villamíl, J. Magallanes

Real Tomayapo lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 L. Cárdenas
  2. 24 D. Robles
  3. 19 Robson
  4. 33 K. Mamani
  5. 11 F. Nouet
  6. 6 V. Melgar
  7. 8 J. Mamani
  8. 18 R. Eguez

Bench: J. Orozco, J. Ribera, V. Gálvez, J. Guerra, C. Adorno, Ruan Costa, R. Suárez, J. Castillo, Yordy Álvarez

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2 · draws 3 · Real Tomayapo 4.

San Antonio Bulo BuloDrawsReal Tomayapo
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-09Real Tomayapo1-0San Antonio Bulo BuloBolivia Primera División
2025-12-08San Antonio Bulo Bulo5-4Real TomayapoBolivia Primera División
2025-10-24San Antonio Bulo Bulo0-2Real TomayapoCopa de la División Profesional
2025-10-04Real Tomayapo3-1San Antonio Bulo BuloCopa de la División Profesional
2025-07-05Real Tomayapo1-1San Antonio Bulo BuloBolivia Primera División
2024-11-23Real Tomayapo1-0San Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División
2024-07-26San Antonio Bulo Bulo1-1Real TomayapoPrimera División
2024-03-30San Antonio Bulo Bulo3-0Real TomayapoPrimera División
2024-02-20Real Tomayapo2-2San Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División

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