Bolivia Primera División · Apertura - 21

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo

· Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas, Entre Rios

Alin prediction San Antonio Bulo Bulo to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
San Antonio Bulo BuloDrawReal Tomayapo
Best market odds
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1.72 Draw4.00 Real Tomayapo4.20
Bet on San Antonio Bulo Bulo

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo preview

San Antonio Bulo Bulo hosts Real Tomayapo in a match where the 1X2 probabilities favor the home side at 52%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance of occurring. San Antonio Bulo Bulo's recent form shows one win in their last six matches, while Real Tomayapo has two wins in their last six, which could impact the outcome.

The market suggests a 39% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance for both teams to score. San Antonio Bulo Bulo has expected goals of 1.31, while Real Tomayapo has 0.93. If either team fails to convert their chances, the expected goals could lead to a lower-scoring match than anticipated.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSan Antonio Bulo BuloDrawReal Tomayapo
Model44%31%25%
Market54%24%22%
Published52%26%22%
Edge-10%+7%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.93.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo odds movement

Median bookmaker price on San Antonio Bulo Bulo, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.

Opened 1.67Now 1.67 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1.671.67+0.00
Draw3.803.80+0.00
Real Tomayapo4.204.20+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo and Real Tomayapo expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.31San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0.93Real Tomayapo
Total expected goals
2.24
Attack rating (San Antonio Bulo Bulo / Real Tomayapo)
0.63 / 0.61
Defence rating (San Antonio Bulo Bulo / Real Tomayapo)
1.16 / 0.99

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.0% 8.6% 4.6% 1.4% 0.4% 1 12.7% 14.3% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 2 9.2% 8.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 3 4.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 4+ 1.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: San Antonio Bulo Bulo goals. Columns: Real Tomayapo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
45%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2San Antonio Bulo Bulo52%1.93
Draw26%3.90
Real Tomayapo22%4.45
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.58
Under 2.561%1.63
Both teams to scoreYes45%2.20
No55%1.83
Double chance1X (San Antonio Bulo Bulo or draw)78%1.29
12 (either side)74%1.34
X2 (draw or Real Tomayapo)48%2.08
Handicap -1San Antonio Bulo Bulo win by 2+21%4.74
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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San Antonio Bulo Bulo and Real Tomayapo recent form

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1W 0D 5L
Real Tomayapo 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-1-4
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.30
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
2 of 10
  • They have won 5 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 19 matches.

Real Tomayapo away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-8
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.70
Goals against / match
2.70
Clean sheets
2 of 10
  • They have won 4 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

League matches this season before kick-off: San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home only, Real Tomayapo away only.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1 · draws 1 · Real Tomayapo 1.

San Antonio Bulo BuloDrawsReal Tomayapo
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-09Real Tomayapo1-0San Antonio Bulo BuloBolivia Primera División
2025-12-08San Antonio Bulo Bulo5-4Real TomayapoBolivia Primera División
2025-07-05Real Tomayapo1-1San Antonio Bulo BuloBolivia Primera División

Other Apertura - 21 fixtures

Prediction snapshot San Antonio Bulo Bulo to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on San Antonio Bulo Bulo