CRB vs Atletico Goianiense preview
CRB faces Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil Serie B, with a 40% probability for CRB to win according to the model 1X2. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which reflects a low-scoring expectation, supported by CRB's expected goals of 0.94 compared to Atletico Goianiense's 1.23.
While both teams to score stands at 44%, indicating a decent chance for both sides to find the net, the lower percentage for Over 2.5 goals at 37% suggests a tighter match. Recent form shows CRB's inconsistency with three wins in their last six, while Atletico Goianiense has been stronger, winning four of their last six matches. This could influence the outcome.
CRB vs Atletico Goianiense: model vs market
| Source | CRB | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 32% | 41% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Published | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Edge | -17% | +4% | +14% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
CRB vs Atletico Goianiense odds movement
Median bookmaker price on CRB, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRB | 1.96 | 2.08 | +0.12 |
| Draw | 3.39 | 3.32 | -0.07 |
| Atletico Goianiense | 3.55 | 3.32 | -0.23 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
CRB and Atletico Goianiense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.16
- Attack rating (CRB / Atletico Goianiense)
- 1.21 / 1.25
- Defence rating (CRB / Atletico Goianiense)
- 1.02 / 0.59
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CRB vs Atletico Goianiense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CRB goals. Columns: Atletico Goianiense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CRB vs Atletico Goianiense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CRB vs Atletico Goianiense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Atletico Goianiense | 31% | 3.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.25 |
| No | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CRB or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Atletico Goianiense) | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Handicap -1 | CRB win by 2+ | 10% | 10.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CRB and Atletico Goianiense recent form
CRB
3W 0D 3L
Atletico Goianiense
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CRB at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-3-4
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.87
- Goals against / match
- 1.13
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Atletico Goianiense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-6-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.87
- Goals against / match
- 0.93
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CRB at home only, Atletico Goianiense away only.
CRB vs Atletico Goianiense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: CRB 5 · draws 1 · Atletico Goianiense 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Atletico Goianiense | 3-3 | CRB | Brazil Serie B |
| 2025-10-26 | CRB | 2-1 | Atletico Goianiense | Brazil Serie B |
| 2025-07-04 | Atletico Goianiense | 2-1 | CRB | Brazil Serie B |
| 2023-08-02 | CRB | 2-1 | Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| 2023-04-21 | Atletico Goianiense | 2-1 | CRB | Serie B |
| 2019-11-09 | CRB | 2-1 | Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| 2019-08-06 | Atletico Goianiense | 0-1 | CRB | Serie B |
| 2018-08-25 | Atletico Goianiense | 1-0 | CRB | Serie B |
| 2018-05-04 | CRB | 3-1 | Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| 2016-10-04 | CRB | 1-2 | Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Goias v Athletic Club — match page 2026-10-06
- Ponte Preta vs Juventude 2026-10-07
- Avai vs Londrina — team news & stats 2026-10-07
- Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP 2026-10-07
- America Mineiro v Fortaleza EC — match page 2026-10-07
- Vila Nova v Cuiaba — match page 2026-10-07
- Ceara vs Criciuma — team news & stats 2026-10-08
- Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino — team news & stats 2026-10-08