CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv preview
CSKA 1948 faces Botev Plovdiv with a 45% chance to win compared to Botev's 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 9% of the time in our model. CSKA 1948 has an expected goals figure of 1.61, while Botev Plovdiv sits at 1.39.
Recent form shows CSKA 1948 with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Botev Plovdiv has won 4 of their last 6. Both teams to score stands at 61%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 58%. However, CSKA's inconsistent form could lead to a different outcome than predicted.
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv: model vs market
| Source | CSKA 1948 | Draw | Botev Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Published | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | -3% | -2% | +5% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv odds movement
Median bookmaker price on CSKA 1948, 15 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA 1948 | 1.95 | 2.05 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.30 | -0.25 |
| Botev Plovdiv | 3.48 | 3.44 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
CSKA 1948 and Botev Plovdiv expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.99
- Attack rating (CSKA 1948 / Botev Plovdiv)
- 1.26 / 1.29
- Defence rating (CSKA 1948 / Botev Plovdiv)
- 1.00 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CSKA 1948 goals. Columns: Botev Plovdiv goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSKA 1948 | 44% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | |
| Botev Plovdiv | 28% | 3.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CSKA 1948 or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Botev Plovdiv) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | CSKA 1948 win by 2+ | 22% | 4.61 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CSKA 1948 and Botev Plovdiv recent form
CSKA 1948
3W 0D 3L
Botev Plovdiv
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CSKA 1948 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Botev Plovdiv away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CSKA 1948 at home only, Botev Plovdiv away only.
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: CSKA 1948 1 · draws 1 · Botev Plovdiv 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | CSKA 1948 | 0-0 | Botev Plovdiv | Bulgaria First League |
| 2025-09-25 | Botev Plovdiv | 1-2 | CSKA 1948 | Bulgaria First League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia 2026-10-24
- CSKA Sofia v Ludogorets — match page 2026-10-24
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa 2026-10-24
- Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- CSKA 1948, previous: CSKA 1948 – CSKA Sofia, 2026-10-11
- Botev Plovdiv, previous: Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia prediction