O'Higgins vs Cobresal preview
In the fixture between O'Higgins and Cobresal, the 1X2 probabilities show O'Higgins at 52%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. O'Higgins has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-W-L-L-D, while Cobresal has a slightly better record of D-W-L-W-D-L.
The expected goals indicate O'Higgins at 1.46 and Cobresal at 1.34, suggesting a close match. The Over 2.5 goals probability stands at 53%, and both teams to score is at 58%. However, if O'Higgins's poor form continues or Cobresal finds their rhythm, the expected outcomes could change.
O'Higgins vs Cobresal: model vs market
| Source | O'Higgins | Draw | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Published | 53% | 25% | 23% |
| Edge | -5% | +1% | +4% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
O'Higgins vs Cobresal odds movement
Median bookmaker price on O'Higgins, 22 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | 1.48 | 1.62 | +0.14 |
| Draw | 4.25 | 3.92 | -0.33 |
| Cobresal | 5.72 | 4.78 | -0.95 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
O'Higgins and Cobresal expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.80
- Attack rating (O'Higgins / Cobresal)
- 0.74 / 1.05
- Defence rating (O'Higgins / Cobresal)
- 1.11 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
O'Higgins vs Cobresal score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: O'Higgins goals. Columns: Cobresal goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
O'Higgins vs Cobresal goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for O'Higgins vs Cobresal
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | O'Higgins | 53% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Cobresal | 23% | 4.36 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Double chance | 1X (O'Higgins or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Cobresal) | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Handicap -1 | O'Higgins win by 2+ | 19% | 5.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
O'Higgins and Cobresal recent form
O'Higgins
1W 1D 4L
Cobresal
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
O'Higgins at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-6
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.27
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
Cobresal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-8
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: O'Higgins at home only, Cobresal away only.
O'Higgins vs Cobresal head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: O'Higgins 2 · draws 1 · Cobresal 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Cobresal | 2-3 | O'Higgins | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-08-16 | O'Higgins | 1-0 | Cobresal | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-03-16 | Cobresal | 0-0 | O'Higgins | Chile Primera División |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- A. Italiano v Huachipato — match page 2026-10-23
- D. La Serena v Concepción — match page 2026-10-24
- Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido 2026-10-25
- Union La Calera vs U. Catolica 2026-10-25
- Palestino vs Colo Colo — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Universidad de Concepcion vs Deportes Limache — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Universidad de Chile v Everton de Vina — match page 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- O'Higgins, previous: Huachipato v O'Higgins analysis
- Cobresal, previous: Cobresal – Universidad de Concepcion, 2026-10-10