Palestino vs Colo Colo preview
In the upcoming match between Palestino and Colo Colo, the 1X2 probabilities show Colo Colo at 43%, Palestino at 32%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with a 7% chance. The expected goals are 2.12 for Palestino and 1.92 for Colo Colo, indicating a competitive matchup.
Both teams have shown recent form that could influence the outcome. Palestino's last five matches include 2 wins and 3 draws, while Colo Colo has 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five. Despite the strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 76%, unexpected performances could lead to a different result.
Palestino vs Colo Colo: model vs market
| Source | Palestino | Draw | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| Published | 31% | 25% | 43% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Palestino vs Colo Colo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Colo Colo, 23 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palestino | 3.59 | 3.32 | -0.27 |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.50 | -0.12 |
| Colo Colo | 1.89 | 2.00 | +0.11 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Palestino and Colo Colo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.03
- Attack rating (Palestino / Colo Colo)
- 1.16 / 1.58
- Defence rating (Palestino / Colo Colo)
- 1.05 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Palestino vs Colo Colo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Palestino goals. Columns: Colo Colo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Palestino vs Colo Colo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 76%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Palestino vs Colo Colo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Palestino | 31% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Colo Colo | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76% | 1.32 |
| No | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Palestino or draw) | 57% | 1.76 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Colo Colo) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Colo Colo win by 2+ | 19% | 5.24 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Palestino and Colo Colo recent form
Palestino
3W 1D 2L
Colo Colo
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Palestino at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-2
- Win rate
- 58%
- Goals for / match
- 2.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 7 penalties (43%).
Colo Colo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-1-2
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.42
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 17 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Palestino at home only, Colo Colo away only.
Palestino vs Colo Colo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Palestino 1 · draws 2 · Colo Colo 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Colo Colo | 0-1 | Palestino | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-08-22 | Palestino | 0-0 | Colo Colo | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-03-27 | Colo Colo | 1-1 | Palestino | Chile Primera División |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- A. Italiano v Huachipato — match page 2026-10-23
- D. La Serena v Concepción — match page 2026-10-24
- O'Higgins vs Cobresal 2026-10-24
- Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido 2026-10-25
- Union La Calera vs U. Catolica 2026-10-25
- Universidad de Concepcion vs Deportes Limache — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Universidad de Chile v Everton de Vina — match page 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Palestino, previous: Deportes Limache vs Palestino: odds and pick
- Colo Colo, previous: Coquimbo Unido – Colo Colo, 2026-10-11