Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina preview
In the upcoming match between Universidad de Chile and Everton de Vina, the 1X2 probabilities show Universidad de Chile at 58%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 (9%). The model indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 66%. Universidad de Chile's expected goals stand at 2.44, while Everton de Vina's is at 1.25.
However, Universidad de Chile's recent form includes two losses in their last five matches, which could impact their performance. Everton de Vina comes in with a better recent record, winning four of their last five games. This contrast in form may challenge the expected outcome and introduce uncertainty into the match.
Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina: model vs market
| Source | Universidad de Chile | Draw | Everton de Vina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Published | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 1.25.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Universidad de Chile, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | 1.64 | 1.64 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.82 | 3.85 | +0.03 |
| Everton de Vina | 4.65 | 4.65 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Universidad de Chile and Everton de Vina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.69
- Attack rating (Universidad de Chile / Everton de Vina)
- 1.65 / 1.45
- Defence rating (Universidad de Chile / Everton de Vina)
- 0.75 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Universidad de Chile goals. Columns: Everton de Vina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universidad de Chile | 58% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 | |
| Everton de Vina | 19% | 5.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Universidad de Chile or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Everton de Vina) | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Handicap -1 | Universidad de Chile win by 2+ | 42% | 2.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Universidad de Chile and Everton de Vina recent form
Universidad de Chile
4W 0D 2L
Everton de Vina
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Universidad de Chile at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-3-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 12
- They have won 12 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Everton de Vina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-3
- Win rate
- 55%
- Goals for / match
- 1.91
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Universidad de Chile at home only, Everton de Vina away only.
Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Universidad de Chile 1 · draws 1 · Everton de Vina 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Everton de Vina | 0-0 | Universidad de Chile | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-11-05 | Universidad de Chile | 2-0 | Everton de Vina | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-03-27 | Everton de Vina | 2-0 | Universidad de Chile | Chile Primera División |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- A. Italiano v Huachipato — match page 2026-10-23
- D. La Serena v Concepción — match page 2026-10-24
- O'Higgins vs Cobresal 2026-10-24
- Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido 2026-10-25
- Union La Calera vs U. Catolica 2026-10-25
- Palestino vs Colo Colo — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Universidad de Concepcion vs Deportes Limache — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Universidad de Chile, previous: Universidad de Chile vs Nublense prediction
- Everton de Vina, previous: Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena prediction