Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing preview
Chengdu Better City faces Dalian Zhixing with a 32% chance of winning compared to Dalian's 40%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with Dalian Zhixing having a slight edge in expected goals at 1.37 versus Chengdu's 1.20. Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a reasonable chance for goals from both sides.
However, recent form shows Chengdu Better City with 2 wins and 4 losses in their last 6 matches, while Dalian Zhixing has 3 wins and 2 draws in the same period. This discrepancy in form could affect the outcome, making it possible for Chengdu to perform better than expected despite their lower probability of winning.
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing: model vs market
| Source | Chengdu Better City | Draw | Dalian Zhixing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.67
- Attack rating (Chengdu Better City / Dalian Zhixing)
- 0.87 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Chengdu Better City / Dalian Zhixing)
- 0.93 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chengdu Better City goals. Columns: Dalian Zhixing goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chengdu Better City | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Dalian Zhixing | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chengdu Better City or draw) | 57% | 1.74 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Dalian Zhixing) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dalian Zhixing win by 2+ | 21% | 4.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing recent form
Chengdu Better City
2W 1D 3L
Dalian Zhixing
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chengdu Better City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-3-3
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.21
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dalian Zhixing away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-7
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Chengdu Better City at home only, Dalian Zhixing away only.
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Chengdu Better City 2 · draws 0 · Dalian Zhixing 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Dalian Zhixing | 2-0 | Chengdu Better City | China Super League |
| 2025-08-08 | Dalian Zhixing | 0-2 | Chengdu Better City | China Super League |
| 2025-04-06 | Chengdu Better City | 2-0 | Dalian Zhixing | China Super League |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG 2026-10-24
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page 2026-10-24
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown 2026-10-24
- Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — match page 2026-10-24
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun 2026-10-24
- Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Chengdu Better City, previous: SHANGHAI SIPG – Chengdu Better City, 2026-10-18
- Dalian Zhixing, previous: Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu: odds and pick