Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon preview
Chongqing Tongliang Long faces Qingdao Jonoon with a 56% probability of winning compared to Qingdao's 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance. Chongqing's expected goals stand at 1.65, while Qingdao's is only 0.83.
Chongqing has not won in their last 5 matches, recording 3 draws and 2 losses. Qingdao is on a 6-match losing streak. The model shows a 45% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score. If Qingdao can improve their scoring, they might challenge Chongqing's defense more effectively than expected.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon: model vs market
| Source | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.75.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Jonoon expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.56
- Attack rating (Chongqing Tongliang Long / Qingdao Jonoon)
- 0.64 / 0.60
- Defence rating (Chongqing Tongliang Long / Qingdao Jonoon)
- 0.91 / 1.58
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chongqing Tongliang Long goals. Columns: Qingdao Jonoon goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 62% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 | |
| Qingdao Jonoon | 14% | 7.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.21 |
| No | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Qingdao Jonoon) | 38% | 2.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Chongqing Tongliang Long win by 2+ | 37% | 2.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Jonoon recent form
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0W 4D 2L
Qingdao Jonoon
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chongqing Tongliang Long at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-6-4
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Qingdao Jonoon away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-12
- Win rate
- 7%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 2.43
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Chongqing Tongliang Long at home only, Qingdao Jonoon away only.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1 · draws 0 · Qingdao Jonoon 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Qingdao Jonoon | 0-1 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | China Super League |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG 2026-10-24
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page 2026-10-24
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown 2026-10-24
- Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — match page 2026-10-24
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Chongqing Tongliang Long, previous: Yunnan Yukun – Chongqing Tongliang Long, 2026-10-17
- Qingdao Jonoon, previous: Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban prediction