Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG preview
In the upcoming match between Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG, the 1X2 probabilities show Tianjin Teda at 43%, while SHANGHAI SIPG sits at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance. Tianjin Teda has been in solid form, recording 4 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches, while SHANGHAI SIPG has 5 wins, 1 draw, and no losses in their recent games.
The model suggests a 36% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance for both teams to score. However, SHANGHAI SIPG's recent strong performances could lead to a different result than expected, especially given their head-to-head advantage with 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 encounters.
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG: model vs market
| Source | Tianjin Teda | Draw | SHANGHAI SIPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.89.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.13
- Attack rating (Tianjin Teda / SHANGHAI SIPG)
- 0.88 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Tianjin Teda / SHANGHAI SIPG)
- 0.60 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tianjin Teda goals. Columns: SHANGHAI SIPG goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tianjin Teda | 43% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.15 | |
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tianjin Teda or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or SHANGHAI SIPG) | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tianjin Teda win by 2+ | 20% | 5.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG recent form
Tianjin Teda
4W 2D 0L
SHANGHAI SIPG
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tianjin Teda at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-5
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SHANGHAI SIPG away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-5
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Tianjin Teda at home only, SHANGHAI SIPG away only.
Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Tianjin Teda 0 · draws 2 · SHANGHAI SIPG 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1-1 | Tianjin Teda | China Super League |
| 2025-08-24 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1-1 | Tianjin Teda | China Super League |
| 2025-04-16 | Tianjin Teda | 1-4 | SHANGHAI SIPG | China Super League |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page 2026-10-24
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown 2026-10-24
- Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — match page 2026-10-24
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun 2026-10-24
- Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Tianjin Teda, previous: Henan Jianye v Tianjin Teda analysis
- SHANGHAI SIPG, previous: SHANGHAI SIPG – Chengdu Better City, 2026-10-18