Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown preview
In the upcoming match between Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown, the 1X2 probabilities show Hangzhou Greentown at 46%, while Shenyang Urban sits at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an 8% chance. Both teams have shown mixed form recently, with Shenyang Urban recording D-L-L-L-D-L and Hangzhou Greentown at L-W-L-W-D-L.
The model also indicates a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams to score at 76%. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting that unexpected outcomes could arise, particularly given Shenyang Urban's recent struggles and the competitive nature of the league.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown: model vs market
| Source | Shenyang Urban | Draw | Hangzhou Greentown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.80.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.35
- Attack rating (Shenyang Urban / Hangzhou Greentown)
- 1.04 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Shenyang Urban / Hangzhou Greentown)
- 1.08 / 1.38
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Shenyang Urban goals. Columns: Hangzhou Greentown goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 78%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shenyang Urban | 54% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.04 | |
| Hangzhou Greentown | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | 5.24 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78% | 1.29 |
| No | 22% | 4.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Shenyang Urban or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Hangzhou Greentown) | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Handicap -1 | Shenyang Urban win by 2+ | 35% | 2.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown recent form
Shenyang Urban
1W 2D 3L
Hangzhou Greentown
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Shenyang Urban at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-6
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hangzhou Greentown away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-8
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 1.21
- Goals against / match
- 2.14
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Shenyang Urban at home only, Hangzhou Greentown away only.
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Shenyang Urban 1 · draws 0 · Hangzhou Greentown 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Hangzhou Greentown | 0-5 | Shenyang Urban | China Super League |
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Before and after this match
- Shenyang Urban, previous: Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban prediction
- Hangzhou Greentown, previous: Shandong Luneng v Hangzhou Greentown analysis