Chico vs Junior preview
In the Primera A fixture, Chico faces Junior with a 1X2 probability of Chico at 35%, Junior at 36%, and a draw at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a probability of 8%. Both teams to score stands at 55%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 49%.
Chico's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Junior has 1 win in their last 6 as well. Junior has a strong head-to-head record, winning all 3 of their last encounters against Chico. This trend could affect the outcome, as Chico looks to improve their performance against a team that has consistently beaten them.
Chico vs Junior: model vs market
| Source | Chico | Draw | Junior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Chico and Junior expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Chico / Junior)
- 0.75 / 1.05
- Defence rating (Chico / Junior)
- 1.18 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chico vs Junior score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chico goals. Columns: Junior goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chico vs Junior goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chico vs Junior
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chico | 33% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 | |
| Junior | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| No | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chico or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Junior) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Junior win by 2+ | 16% | 6.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chico and Junior recent form
Chico
2W 1D 3L
Junior
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chico at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-6
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.35
- Goals against / match
- 0.76
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 17
- They have won 8 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 19 of 33 matches.
Junior away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-9
- Win rate
- 37%
- Goals for / match
- 1.32
- Goals against / match
- 1.37
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 19
- They have won 16 of their 39 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 39 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 39 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 11 of 14 penalties (79%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Chico at home only, Junior away only.
Chico vs Junior head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Chico 0 · draws 0 · Junior 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Junior | 3-0 | Chico | Primera A |
| 2025-08-02 | Junior | 2-0 | Chico | Primera A |
| 2025-02-19 | Chico | 0-2 | Junior | Primera A |
Other Clausura - 5 fixtures
- Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas 2026-10-27
- Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar — match page 2026-10-28
- Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin 2026-10-29
- America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe — match page 2026-10-30
- Deportivo Pereira v Jaguares — match page 2026-10-30
- Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Chico, previous: Chico – Bucaramanga, 2026-10-23
- Junior, previous: Junior vs Águilas Doradas: odds and pick