Deportivo Cali vs Chico preview
Deportivo Cali has a 73% chance to win against Chico, who has only a 6% chance, making the 1X2 pick clear. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 17% probability. However, Deportivo Cali's recent form shows 3 draws in their last 5 matches, which could lead to a less decisive result than expected.
Chico has shown some resilience with a recent win, but their expected goals are only 0.44 compared to Deportivo Cali's 1.96. The model predicts a 43% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance for both teams to score, indicating that while Deportivo Cali may dominate, Chico could still find a way to contribute to the scoreline.
Deportivo Cali vs Chico: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo Cali | Draw | Chico |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73% | 20% | 6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 73% | 20% | 6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Deportivo Cali and Chico expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.40
- Attack rating (Deportivo Cali / Chico)
- 1.18 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Deportivo Cali / Chico)
- 0.58 / 1.18
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo Cali vs Chico score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo Cali goals. Columns: Chico goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo Cali vs Chico goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 31%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo Cali vs Chico
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cali | 73% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.94 | |
| Chico | 6% | 15.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31% | 3.21 |
| No | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo Cali or draw) | 94% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Chico) | 27% | 3.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cali win by 2+ | 47% | 2.11 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Deportivo Cali and Chico recent form
Deportivo Cali
3W 3D 0L
Chico
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo Cali at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-7-1
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.47
- Goals against / match
- 0.59
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 17
- They have won 15 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chico away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-14
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.24
- Goals against / match
- 2.59
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 17
- They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 19 of 34 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Cali at home only, Chico away only.
Deportivo Cali vs Chico head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Deportivo Cali 0 · draws 2 · Chico 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Chico | 1-0 | Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| 2025-08-25 | Chico | 0-0 | Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| 2025-03-10 | Deportivo Cali | 0-0 | Chico | Primera A |
Other Clausura - 17 fixtures
- Llaneros v Junior — match page 2026-10-31
- Independiente Medellin v Alianza Valledupar — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Deportivo Cali, previous: Fortaleza FC – Deportivo Cali, 2026-10-25
- Chico, previous: Chico vs Junior prediction