Chico vs Internacional de Bogota preview
Chico faces Internacional de Bogota with a 38% chance of winning compared to 33% for Internacional de Bogota. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Chico, which has a 9% probability according to our model. The expected goals show Chico at 1.11 and Internacional de Bogota at 1.22, indicating a close match.
While both teams to score has a 49% chance, the recent form suggests challenges for Chico, who has lost 4 of their last 6 matches. Internacional de Bogota, on the other hand, has shown more consistency with 3 wins and 3 draws in their last 6 games. This could lead to a different outcome than predicted, especially if both teams find their scoring touch.
Chico vs Internacional de Bogota: model vs market
| Source | Chico | Draw | Internacional de Bogota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 31% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Published | 36% | 30% | 35% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.60, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Chico vs Internacional de Bogota odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Chico, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chico | 2.38 | 2.49 | +0.11 |
| Draw | 3.29 | 3.15 | -0.13 |
| Internacional de Bogota | 2.94 | 2.75 | -0.19 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Chico and Internacional de Bogota expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.33
- Attack rating (Chico / Internacional de Bogota)
- 0.73 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Chico / Internacional de Bogota)
- 1.10 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chico vs Internacional de Bogota score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chico goals. Columns: Internacional de Bogota goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chico vs Internacional de Bogota goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chico vs Internacional de Bogota
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chico | 36% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.37 | |
| Internacional de Bogota | 35% | 2.90 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chico or draw) | 65% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Internacional de Bogota) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Chico win by 2+ | 13% | 7.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chico and Internacional de Bogota recent form
Chico
1W 1D 4L
Internacional de Bogota
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chico at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-3-6
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.78
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 18
- They have won 9 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 19 of 35 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Internacional de Bogota away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-9-8
- Win rate
- 11%
- Goals for / match
- 0.89
- Goals against / match
- 1.79
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 19
- They have won 10 of their 37 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 37 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 37 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Chico at home only, Internacional de Bogota away only.
Chico vs Internacional de Bogota head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Chico 1 · draws 1 · Internacional de Bogota 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Internacional de Bogota | 4-0 | Chico | Primera A |
| 2025-08-12 | Chico | 0-0 | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| 2025-02-22 | Internacional de Bogota | 0-1 | Chico | Primera A |
Other Clausura - 18 fixtures
- Fortaleza FC v Independiente Medellin — match page 2026-11-07
- Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pereira — match page 2026-11-07
- America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali 2026-11-08
- Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Jaguares vs Bucaramanga — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios 2026-11-08
- Alianza Valledupar v Llaneros — match page 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Chico, previous: Deportivo Cali v Chico analysis
- Internacional de Bogota, previous: Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin prediction