Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe preview
In the fixture between Internacional de Bogota and Santa Fe, the 1X2 probabilities show Santa Fe at 39% and Internacional de Bogota at 33%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-2, which suggests a close match. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Internacional de Bogota recording 2 wins in their last 6 matches and Santa Fe achieving 3 wins in the same period.
The expected goals are very close, with Internacional de Bogota at 1.30 and Santa Fe at 1.35. The model indicates a 49% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score. However, the confidence grade is C, meaning there is uncertainty in the outcome, and results could vary based on the teams' performances on the day.
Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe: model vs market
| Source | Internacional de Bogota | Draw | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Published | 33% | 29% | 39% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Santa Fe, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-09.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional de Bogota | 2.84 | 2.90 | +0.06 |
| Draw | 3.14 | 3.24 | +0.10 |
| Santa Fe | 2.44 | 2.37 | -0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Internacional de Bogota and Santa Fe expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Internacional de Bogota / Santa Fe)
- 1.10 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Internacional de Bogota / Santa Fe)
- 1.12 / 0.84
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Internacional de Bogota goals. Columns: Santa Fe goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional de Bogota | 33% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Santa Fe | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Internacional de Bogota or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Santa Fe) | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Santa Fe win by 2+ | 17% | 5.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Internacional de Bogota and Santa Fe recent form
Internacional de Bogota
2W 2D 2L
Santa Fe
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Internacional de Bogota at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-6-4
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.68
- Goals against / match
- 1.26
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 19
- They have won 11 of their 39 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 39 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 39 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Santa Fe away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-8-6
- Win rate
- 30%
- Goals for / match
- 1.10
- Goals against / match
- 1.10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 20
- They have won 17 of their 41 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 41 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 41 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Internacional de Bogota at home only, Santa Fe away only.
Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Internacional de Bogota 3 · draws 2 · Santa Fe 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Fe | 3-1 | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| 2025-09-28 | Santa Fe | 3-0 | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| 2025-04-11 | Internacional de Bogota | 2-1 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 2024-07-27 | Santa Fe | 0-1 | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| 2024-05-26 | Santa Fe | 2-0 | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| 2024-05-12 | Internacional de Bogota | 0-2 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 2024-01-31 | Internacional de Bogota | 1-0 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 2023-08-12 | Santa Fe | 1-1 | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| 2023-02-19 | Internacional de Bogota | 0-1 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 2022-07-10 | Internacional de Bogota | 2-2 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
Other Clausura - 19 fixtures
- Deportivo Pasto vs Junior 2026-11-12
- Llaneros v Chico — match page 2026-11-13
- Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Deportivo Cali v Deportes Tolima — match page 2026-11-14
- Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali 2026-11-14
- Cucuta vs Jaguares — team news & stats 2026-11-14
Before and after this match
- Internacional de Bogota, previous: Chico – Internacional de Bogota, 2026-11-06
- Santa Fe, previous: Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto: odds and pick