Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali preview
In the match between Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali, the 1X2 probabilities show America de Cali at 50% and Deportivo Pereira at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a probability of 11%. America de Cali has a slight edge in expected goals at 1.37 compared to Deportivo Pereira's 1.01.
Both teams to score has a probability of 49%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 42%. Recent form indicates Deportivo Pereira has two losses and a win, while America de Cali has two draws and a win in their last five matches. The head-to-head record shows America de Cali with 6 wins out of the last 10 encounters, which could impact the outcome.
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo Pereira | Draw | America de Cali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Market | 21% | 26% | 53% |
| Published | 22% | 27% | 50% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.01.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali odds movement
Median bookmaker price on America de Cali, 7 snapshots since 2026-11-08.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 4.95 | 4.35 | -0.60 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.50 | -0.10 |
| America de Cali | 1.67 | 1.75 | +0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.38
- Attack rating (Deportivo Pereira / America de Cali)
- 1.00 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Deportivo Pereira / America de Cali)
- 1.33 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo Pereira goals. Columns: America de Cali goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pereira | 22% | 4.45 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| America de Cali | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo Pereira or draw) | 50% | 2.02 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or America de Cali) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | America de Cali win by 2+ | 21% | 4.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali recent form
Deportivo Pereira
2W 2D 2L
America de Cali
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo Pereira at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-7-8
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.89
- Goals against / match
- 1.39
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 18
- They have won 4 of their 37 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 37 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 37 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
America de Cali away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-7
- Win rate
- 37%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.11
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 19
- They have won 20 of their 39 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 18 clean sheets in 39 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 39 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Pereira at home only, America de Cali away only.
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Deportivo Pereira 3 · draws 1 · America de Cali 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | America de Cali | 4-1 | Deportivo Pereira | Copa Colombia |
| 2026-05-03 | America de Cali | 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 2025-08-14 | Deportivo Pereira | 2-1 | America de Cali | Primera A |
| 2025-03-02 | America de Cali | 2-0 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 2024-09-15 | America de Cali | 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 2024-03-02 | Deportivo Pereira | 2-0 | America de Cali | Primera A |
| 2023-10-01 | Deportivo Pereira | 2-4 | America de Cali | Primera A |
| 2023-04-25 | America de Cali | 2-1 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 2022-09-16 | America de Cali | 0-1 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 2022-01-28 | Deportivo Pereira | 1-1 | America de Cali | Primera A |
Other Clausura - 19 fixtures
- Deportivo Pasto vs Junior 2026-11-12
- Llaneros v Chico — match page 2026-11-13
- Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe 2026-11-14
- Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Deportivo Cali v Deportes Tolima — match page 2026-11-14
- Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Cucuta vs Jaguares — team news & stats 2026-11-14
Before and after this match
- Deportivo Pereira, previous: Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira prediction
- America de Cali, previous: America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali prediction