America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali preview
In the Primera A fixture, America de Cali has a 38% chance to win against Deportivo Cali, who has a 29% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% probability. America de Cali's expected goals stand at 1.13, while Deportivo Cali's is 0.96.
Both teams to score has a 43% probability, and Over 2.5 goals is at 35%. Recent form shows America de Cali with three wins and one draw in their last five matches, while Deportivo Cali has not lost in their last five, with four draws. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali: model vs market
| Source | America de Cali | Draw | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 33% | 33% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Published | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Edge | -5% | +2% | +3% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
America de Cali and Deportivo Cali expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.05
- Attack rating (America de Cali / Deportivo Cali)
- 1.38 / 1.25
- Defence rating (America de Cali / Deportivo Cali)
- 0.83 / 0.54
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: America de Cali goals. Columns: Deportivo Cali goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America de Cali | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Deportivo Cali | 23% | 4.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.35 |
| No | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (America de Cali or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo Cali) | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Handicap -1 | America de Cali win by 2+ | 14% | 7.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
America de Cali and Deportivo Cali recent form
America de Cali
4W 1D 1L
Deportivo Cali
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
America de Cali at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 13-4-2
- Win rate
- 68%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.58
- Clean sheets
- 10 of 19
- They have won 20 of their 37 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 37 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 37 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Cali away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-7
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 0.89
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 18
- They have won 15 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: America de Cali at home only, Deportivo Cali away only.
America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: America de Cali 2 · draws 2 · Deportivo Cali 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Deportivo Cali | 1-0 | America de Cali | Primera A |
| 2025-10-19 | Deportivo Cali | 0-2 | America de Cali | Primera A |
| 2025-09-07 | America de Cali | 0-0 | Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| 2025-04-27 | America de Cali | 2-0 | Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| 2025-03-24 | Deportivo Cali | 1-1 | America de Cali | Primera A |
Other Clausura - 18 fixtures
- Chico v Internacional de Bogota — match page 2026-11-06
- Fortaleza FC v Independiente Medellin — match page 2026-11-07
- Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pereira — match page 2026-11-07
- Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Jaguares vs Bucaramanga — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios 2026-11-08
- Alianza Valledupar v Llaneros — match page 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- America de Cali, previous: Millonarios – America de Cali, 2026-11-05
- Deportivo Cali, previous: Deportivo Cali v Chico analysis