Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas preview
Cucuta faces Águilas Doradas with a 50% chance of winning compared to 23% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with Cucuta's expected goals of 1.62 against Águilas Doradas' 1.04. The recent form shows Cucuta winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while Águilas Doradas has a mixed record with 3 wins in their last 6.
However, the prediction could be challenged if both teams score, which our model suggests has a 53% probability. With Cucuta's recent strong performances, they may dominate, but Águilas Doradas has shown resilience, making it possible for them to find the net. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas: model vs market
| Source | Cucuta | Draw | Águilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Cucuta and Águilas Doradas expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (Cucuta / Águilas Doradas)
- 1.07 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Cucuta / Águilas Doradas)
- 0.95 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cucuta goals. Columns: Águilas Doradas goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cucuta | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | |
| Águilas Doradas | 21% | 4.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.02 |
| No | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cucuta or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Águilas Doradas) | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cucuta win by 2+ | 28% | 3.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cucuta and Águilas Doradas recent form
Cucuta
4W 0D 2L
Águilas Doradas
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cucuta at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-4
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.19
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
Águilas Doradas away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-6-7
- Win rate
- 24%
- Goals for / match
- 0.88
- Goals against / match
- 1.35
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 17
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Cucuta at home only, Águilas Doradas away only.
Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Cucuta 0 · draws 0 · Águilas Doradas 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Águilas Doradas | 3-2 | Cucuta | Primera A |
Other Clausura - 5 fixtures
- Chico vs Junior — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar — match page 2026-10-28
- Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin 2026-10-29
- America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe — match page 2026-10-30
- Deportivo Pereira v Jaguares — match page 2026-10-30
- Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Cucuta, previous: America de Cali vs Cucuta prediction
- Águilas Doradas, previous: Junior vs Águilas Doradas: odds and pick