Hvidovre vs Hillerød preview
In the upcoming match between Hvidovre and Hillerød, the 1X2 probabilities show Hvidovre at 50%, while Hillerød stands at 26%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. With expected goals of 1.72 for Hvidovre and 1.46 for Hillerød, the match could see Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 64%.
However, Hvidovre's recent form includes 4 wins and 2 draws, while Hillerød has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. The head-to-head results from the last 4 matches show 1 win for Hvidovre, 2 draws, and 1 win for Hillerød. These factors could influence the outcome and challenge the predictions.
Hvidovre vs Hillerød: model vs market
| Source | Hvidovre | Draw | Hillerød |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| Published | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Edge | -15% | +3% | +12% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Hvidovre vs Hillerød odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hvidovre, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hvidovre | 1.76 | 1.62 | -0.14 |
| Draw | 3.84 | 4.08 | +0.24 |
| Hillerød | 3.84 | 4.70 | +0.86 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Hvidovre and Hillerød expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.18
- Attack rating (Hvidovre / Hillerød)
- 1.22 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Hvidovre / Hillerød)
- 0.90 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hvidovre vs Hillerød score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hvidovre goals. Columns: Hillerød goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hvidovre vs Hillerød goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hvidovre vs Hillerød
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hvidovre | 54% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 | |
| Hillerød | 23% | 4.40 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hvidovre or draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Hillerød) | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hvidovre win by 2+ | 23% | 4.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hvidovre and Hillerød recent form
Hvidovre
4W 2D 0L
Hillerød
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hvidovre at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hillerød away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hvidovre at home only, Hillerød away only.
Hvidovre vs Hillerød head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Hvidovre 3 · draws 4 · Hillerød 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Hillerød | 2-1 | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2026-04-03 | Hvidovre | 1-1 | Hillerød | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-10-18 | Hillerød | 1-1 | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-09-20 | Hvidovre | 3-1 | Hillerød | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2024-11-01 | Hillerød | 1-0 | Hvidovre | 1. Division |
| 2024-08-20 | Hvidovre | 0-0 | Hillerød | 1. Division |
| 2024-01-27 | Hillerød | 7-2 | Hvidovre | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-07-01 | Hillerød | 1-2 | Hvidovre | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-02-25 | Hillerød | 1-1 | Hvidovre | 1. Division |
| 2022-08-05 | Hvidovre | 3-1 | Hillerød | 1. Division |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- HB Koge v AB Copenhagen — match page 2026-10-16
- Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF 2026-10-16
- Aarhus Fremad v Esbjerg — match page 2026-10-16
- Aalborg vs Vejle — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- FC Fredericia vs Hobro 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Hvidovre, previous: Vejle – Hvidovre, 2026-10-09
- Hvidovre, next: Hvidovre – HB Koge, 2026-10-23
- Hillerød, previous: Hillerød v FC Fredericia analysis
- Hillerød, next: Hillerød v Aalborg analysis