FAS vs Platense preview
In the Primera Division match between FAS and Platense, the 1X2 probabilities show FAS at 56%, compared to Platense's 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. FAS's expected goals stand at 1.74, while Platense's is significantly lower at 0.91.
Both teams to score has a 50% chance, indicating that while FAS is favored, Platense could still find the net. Recent form reveals FAS with four wins in their last six games, while Platense has struggled with only two wins in their last six. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
FAS vs Platense: model vs market
| Source | FAS | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Published | 63% | 22% | 14% |
| Edge | -10% | +5% | +5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
FAS vs Platense odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FAS, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-16.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAS | 1.39 | 1.37 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.31 | +0.01 |
| Platense | 6.50 | 6.94 | +0.44 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FAS and Platense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (FAS / Platense)
- 1.26 / 1.04
- Defence rating (FAS / Platense)
- 0.68 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FAS vs Platense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FAS goals. Columns: Platense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FAS vs Platense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FAS vs Platense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.51 | |
| Platense | 14% | 6.96 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| No | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FAS or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Platense) | 37% | 2.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win by 2+ | 32% | 3.12 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FAS and Platense recent form
FAS
4W 2D 0L
Platense
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FAS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Platense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: FAS at home only, Platense away only.
FAS vs Platense head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: FAS 3 · draws 1 · Platense 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Platense | 2-1 | FAS | Primera Division |
| 2026-05-01 | FAS | 1-0 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2026-03-08 | Platense | 2-3 | FAS | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-16 | FAS | 4-1 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2025-09-14 | Platense | 3-3 | FAS | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 16 fixtures
- Firpo vs Inca Aruba — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Inter vs Municipal Limeño — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Cacahuatique vs Alianza 2026-10-17
- Isidro Metapán v Fuerte San Francisco — match page 2026-10-18
- Atletico Balboa vs Águila 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- FAS, previous: Atletico Balboa v FAS analysis
- FAS, next: FAS – Isidro Metapán, 2026-10-22
- Platense, previous: Inca Aruba v Platense analysis