Blackpool vs Wigan preview
In the League One fixture between Blackpool and Wigan, the 1X2 probabilities show Blackpool at 42%, Wigan at 30%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Blackpool has an expected goals figure of 1.54 compared to Wigan's 1.27, suggesting a slight edge for the home team.
Both teams to score has a probability of 58%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 53%. Recent form shows Blackpool with a record of W-D-L-W-L-L and Wigan at W-D-W-L-L-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Blackpool vs Wigan: model vs market
| Source | Blackpool | Draw | Wigan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 27% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Blackpool and Wigan expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.81
- Attack rating (Blackpool / Wigan)
- 1.05 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Blackpool / Wigan)
- 1.26 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Blackpool vs Wigan score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Blackpool goals. Columns: Wigan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Blackpool vs Wigan goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Blackpool vs Wigan
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 | |
| Wigan | 30% | 3.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Blackpool or draw) | 70% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Wigan) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Blackpool win by 2+ | 22% | 4.60 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Blackpool and Wigan recent form
Blackpool
2W 1D 3L
Wigan
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Blackpool at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Wigan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 14 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Blackpool at home only, Wigan away only.
Blackpool vs Wigan head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Blackpool 1 · draws 1 · Wigan 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Blackpool | 1-1 | Wigan | League One |
| 2025-12-20 | Wigan | 0-2 | Blackpool | League One |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Reading v Bromley — match page 2026-11-21
- Huddersfield vs Leicester 2026-11-21
- Burton Albion v Luton — match page 2026-11-21
- Oxford United vs Wycombe — team news & stats 2026-11-21
- Bradford vs Doncaster 2026-11-21
- Plymouth v Peterborough — match page 2026-11-21
- Cambridge United vs Stockport County — team news & stats 2026-11-21
- Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon 2026-11-21
Before and after this match
- Blackpool, previous: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool analysis
- Blackpool, next: Salisbury vs Blackpool prediction
- Wigan, previous: Wigan vs Barnsley prediction
- Wigan, next: Wigan vs Barnsley prediction