Annecy vs Montpellier preview
In the Ligue 2 fixture between Annecy and Montpellier, the 1X2 probabilities show Montpellier at 41% to win, compared to Annecy's 28%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, which occurs at a 12% probability.
Annecy has an expected goals figure of 1.00, while Montpellier's is higher at 1.25. Although both teams to score stands at 46%, the recent form of Annecy, with 3 losses in their last 5 matches, could impact their performance. Montpellier, on the other hand, has a stronger recent record with 3 wins in their last 5 games.
Annecy vs Montpellier: model vs market
| Source | Annecy | Draw | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 31% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 31% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Annecy and Montpellier expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.25
- Attack rating (Annecy / Montpellier)
- 1.22 / 1.05
- Defence rating (Annecy / Montpellier)
- 0.96 / 0.62
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Annecy vs Montpellier score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Annecy goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Annecy vs Montpellier goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Annecy vs Montpellier
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Annecy | 28% | 3.53 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Montpellier | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.15 |
| No | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Annecy or draw) | 59% | 1.68 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Montpellier) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | Montpellier win by 2+ | 19% | 5.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Annecy and Montpellier recent form
Annecy
3W 0D 3L
Montpellier
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Annecy at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Montpellier away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Annecy at home only, Montpellier away only.
Annecy vs Montpellier head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Annecy 0 · draws 1 · Montpellier 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Annecy | 0-0 | Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-11-07 | Montpellier | 1-0 | Annecy | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Metz vs PAU — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Laval vs Boulogne 2026-10-30
- Rodez v Dunkerque — match page 2026-10-30
- Reims vs Sochaux — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Guingamp v Saint-Etienne — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Annecy, previous: Sochaux vs Annecy prediction
- Montpellier, previous: Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 prediction