Rodez vs Dunkerque preview
In the Ligue 2 fixture between Rodez and Dunkerque, the 1X2 probabilities show Rodez at 44%, Dunkerque at 32%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Rodez, with an 8% chance according to our model. Both teams to score stands at 70%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 69%.
Rodez's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Dunkerque has 2 wins in their last 6. The expected goals are 1.72 for Rodez and 1.86 for Dunkerque. The head-to-head record indicates that in their last 2 meetings, Rodez has not won, with 2 draws and no wins for Dunkerque. A lack of scoring from Rodez could affect the outcome.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: model vs market
| Source | Rodez | Draw | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| Published | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Rodez and Dunkerque expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.58
- Attack rating (Rodez / Dunkerque)
- 1.09 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Rodez / Dunkerque)
- 1.40 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rodez vs Dunkerque score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rodez goals. Columns: Dunkerque goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rodez vs Dunkerque goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rodez vs Dunkerque
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rodez | 44% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Dunkerque | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.42 |
| No | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rodez or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Dunkerque) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rodez win by 2+ | 18% | 5.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Rodez and Dunkerque recent form
Rodez
1W 0D 5L
Dunkerque
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rodez at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Dunkerque away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rodez at home only, Dunkerque away only.
Rodez vs Dunkerque head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Rodez 0 · draws 2 · Dunkerque 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Dunkerque | 1-1 | Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-11-21 | Rodez | 1-1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Nantes vs Clermont Foot 2026-10-30
- Grenoble vs Dijon 2026-10-30
- Metz vs PAU — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Laval vs Boulogne 2026-10-30
- Reims vs Sochaux — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Annecy vs Montpellier — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Guingamp v Saint-Etienne — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Rodez, previous: Dijon – Rodez, 2026-10-24
- Dunkerque, previous: Dunkerque vs Metz prediction