Updated

Ligue 2 · Matchday 12

Clermont Foot vs Rodez

· Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand

Alin prediction Rodez to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Clermont FootDrawRodez
  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Rodez is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Clermont Foot3.15 Draw3.45 Rodez2.32

Price as of

Expected return at 2.32: -5.7% per unit staked

Clermont Foot vs Rodez preview

Clermont Foot faces Rodez with a 32% chance of winning compared to Rodez's 41%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at an 8% probability. Both teams to score stands at 59%, suggesting both sides may find the net.

Clermont Foot's recent form shows 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, while Rodez has 2 wins and 4 losses. The expected goals are close, with Clermont Foot at 1.43 and Rodez at 1.42. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome. If Clermont Foot improves their form or Rodez's recent winning streak falters, the predictions could change.

Clermont Foot vs Rodez: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceClermont FootDrawRodez
Model37%27%36%
Market31%27%42%
Published32%27%41%
Edge+1%0%-2%
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Clermont Foot vs Rodez odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Rodez, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-01.

Opened 2.22Now 2.21 -0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Clermont Foot3.033.02-0.00
Draw3.453.45+0.00
Rodez2.222.21-0.01

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Clermont Foot and Rodez expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.43Clermont Foot
1.42Rodez
Total expected goals
2.85
Attack rating (Clermont Foot / Rodez)
0.84 / 1.08
Defence rating (Clermont Foot / Rodez)
1.06 / 1.29

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Clermont Foot vs Rodez score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.0% 7.0% 5.8% 2.8% 1.3% 1 7.1% 12.9% 8.3% 3.9% 1.9% 2 5.9% 8.4% 6.0% 2.8% 1.4% 3 2.8% 4.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.7% 4+ 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%

Rows: Clermont Foot goals. Columns: Rodez goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Clermont Foot vs Rodez goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
59%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Clermont Foot vs Rodez

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Clermont Foot32%3.10
Draw27%3.69
Rodez41%2.46
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554%1.84
Under 2.546%2.18
Both teams to scoreYes59%1.70
No41%2.43
Double chance1X (Clermont Foot or draw)59%1.68
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Rodez)68%1.48
Handicap -1Rodez win by 2+17%5.77
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Clermont Foot and Rodez recent form

Clermont Foot 0W 4D 2L
Rodez 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Clermont Foot at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-4-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
3 of 6
  • They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rodez away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
2.20
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Clermont Foot at home only, Rodez away only.

Clermont Foot vs Rodez head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Clermont Foot 1 · draws 0 · Rodez 1.

Clermont FootDrawsRodez
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-13Clermont Foot1-2RodezLigue 2
2025-09-19Rodez0-1Clermont FootLigue 2

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Rodez to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Rodez